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TCRX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TScan Therapeutics Inc (TCRX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
1.130
1 Day change
-1.74%
52 Week Range
2.570
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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TScan Therapeutics Inc (TCRX) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. While the company has shown significant revenue growth and positive earnings surprises, the stock's technical indicators and lack of strong trading signals suggest limited immediate upside. Additionally, the stock's recent trend indicates a higher probability of short-term declines, making it less suitable for an impatient investor unwilling to wait for optimal entry points.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.0133, indicating bullish momentum, but it is contracting, suggesting weakening strength. The RSI at 63.438 is neutral, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. Key support is at 1.009, and resistance is at 1.158. The stock has a 60% chance of declining in the short term based on candlestick pattern analysis.

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 12447.81% rise in buying activity over the last quarter.

  • The company reported strong Q4 revenue growth of 283.6% YoY, beating expectations.

  • Analysts have raised the price target to $5, reflecting optimism about upcoming trial results and revenue growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are neutral with no significant trading trends.

  • The stock has a high probability of short-term declines (-2.41% in the next day, -4.12% in the next week, -10.05% in the next month).

  • The company is still operating at a net loss (-$35.71 million in Q3 2025), which may deter risk-averse investors.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, TScan reported revenue of $2.57 million, a 283.6% YoY increase, and a GAAP EPS of -$0.18, beating expectations by $0.06. In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 139.37% YoY, net income improved by 19.48% YoY, and EPS increased by 12.00% YoY. The company shows strong revenue growth but remains unprofitable.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Wedbush maintains an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $4 to $5, citing optimism about upcoming trial results and revenue growth. Analysts view the company positively but acknowledge the speculative nature of its growth prospects.

Wall Street analysts forecast TCRX stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TCRX stock price to rise
5 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.150
sliders
Low
3
Averages
5.5
High
7
Current: 1.150
sliders
Low
3
Averages
5.5
High
7
Wedbush
Outperform
upgrade
$4 -> $5
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
Wedbush
Price Target
$4 -> $5
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
upgrade
Outperform
Reason
Wedbush raised the firm's price target on TScan Therapeutics to $5 from $4 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm says the company reported earnings and plans to present initial results from Cohort C from its Phase 1 ALLOHA trial in Q2, with an update planned in the second half of 2026. In Wedbush's view, EHA and ASH would be likely respective platforms.
Morgan Stanley
Maxwell Skor
Overweight -> Equal Weight
downgrade
2025-11-13
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Maxwell Skor
Price Target
2025-11-13
downgrade
Overweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Maxwell Skor downgraded TScan Therapeutics to Equal Weight from Overweight. The firm's new base case price target is now $1-$5 vs. $7-$13 prior. After the company's recent strategic prioritization update, the firm plans to remain on the sidelines until there is greater visibility on near-term catalysts, the analyst tells investors in a research note. This change reflects that the pivotal TSC-101 study is now expected to initiate in Q2 of FY26 vs. prior forecast of the second half of FY25, the firm added.
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