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TCBI Earnings

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc
$
80.170
+0.47(0.590%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Texas Capital Bancshares Inc(TCBI) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Texas Capital Bancshares Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-07-17Pre-Market1.281.63+27.34299.27M307.46M+2.74+4.46+4.41
FY2025Q12025-04-17Pre-Market0.990.92-7.07283.30M280.48M-0.99+1.35+3.13
FY2024Q42025-01-23Pre-Market1.071.43+33.64284.03M283.68M-0.12-4.48-2.54
FY2024Q32024-10-17Pre-Market0.971.60+64.95206.09M125.33M-39.19+2.65-1.29
FY2024Q22024-07-18-0.870.80-8.05267.27M267.01M-0.10-6.56-7.87
FY2024Q12024-04-18-0.590.62+5.08253.08M256.33M+1.28+0.11+7.51
FY2023Q42024-01-18-0.760.65-14.47251.19M245.85M-2.13+2.43+2.17
FY2023Q32023-10-19-1.031.18+14.56269.82M278.94M+3.38-3.47-6.83
-2023-07-20-0.941.33+41.49---+6.49+5.11
-2023-04-20-0.900.70-22.22---+2.53-1.59

TCBI Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Texas Capital Bancshares Inc reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-07-17. The company achieved an EPS of 1.63, compared to analyst estimates of 1.28 by 27.34% . Revenue for the quarter reached 307.46M compared to expectations of 299.27M by 2.74% .
The stock price reacted with a 4.46% one-day change and a 4.41% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Texas Capital Bancshares Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

TCBI Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Texas Capital Bancshares Inc(TCBI) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 326.84M and an EPS of 1.78.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.72% . These revisions correlate with a 6.31% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Texas Capital Bancshares Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between TCBI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Upward
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+1.72%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+6.31%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.23B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.56
Stock Price80.17

TCBI Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-17,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.63 (Actual) vs.1.28 (Estimate) (27.34%)
Revenue: 307.46M (Actual) vs. 299.27M (Estimate) (2.74%)
Price Reaction: 4.46%(1-Day), 4.41%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-17,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.92 (Actual) vs.0.99 (Estimate) (-7.07%)
Revenue: 280.48M (Actual) vs. 283.30M (Estimate) (-0.99%)
Price Reaction: 1.35%(1-Day), 3.13%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-23,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.43 (Actual) vs.1.07 (Estimate) (33.64%)
Revenue: 283.68M (Actual) vs. 284.03M (Estimate) (-0.12%)
Price Reaction: -4.48%(1-Day), -2.54%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TCBI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TCBI sees a -5.04% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.19% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.55%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed 0.29% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -6.15% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-17
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance, with increased revenue growth, strategic deposit management, and improved credit risk management. Despite some uncertainties in expense growth and wealth management timelines, the raised revenue guidance and positive outlook on ROA and client acquisition trends suggest a positive sentiment. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, likely resulting in a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-18
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with record high revenues, growth in tangible book value, and robust capital levels. Despite missing EPS expectations, the company maintains a positive outlook with strong guidance, particularly in net interest income and loan growth. The initiation of a $50 million share repurchase program further supports a positive sentiment. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive pressures are noted but appear manageable. Given the company's market cap, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-17
The earnings call highlights record financial performance, strong fee income growth, and a robust increase in net income and EPS. Despite modestly reducing revenue guidance, the company forecasts strong loan growth and improved ROAA. The Q&A reveals a positive outlook on revenue and loan growth, though some uncertainties in investment banking were noted. The share repurchase program and solid CET1 ratio further support a positive sentiment. Given the company's mid-cap status, a stock price increase of 2% to 8% is expected over the next two weeks.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-17
The earnings call reveals a mixed sentiment. Record financial performance and strategic achievements are positive, but reduced revenue guidance and investment banking delays indicate caution. Concerns about loan growth risks and fee income volatility, coupled with competitive pressures, temper the outlook. Share repurchase and strong financial metrics are positives, but the market's uncertainty affects sentiment. Given the small-cap nature of the company, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral prediction.
Earnings call transcript: Texas Capital Q4 2024 beats EPS expectations
Neutral
2025-01-23
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Record financial performance and optimistic 2025 expectations are positive, but the modest revenue guidance reduction and economic uncertainties offset these gains. The Q&A section reveals management's reluctance to provide detailed projections, adding to uncertainty. The absence of explicit shareholder return plans further tempers optimism. Given the company's market cap, the stock is likely to experience a neutral movement in the next two weeks.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-17
The earnings call summary reveals strong financial performance, with record high revenues, increased net interest income, and a significant rise in tangible book value per share. Product development and market strategy appear robust, with high client acquisition and strategic capital deployment. Shareholder returns are positive, with share repurchases and increased tangible book value. The Q&A section highlights some uncertainties in loan growth and buyback strategies, but overall sentiment remains positive. Given the mid-cap market cap, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-18
The earnings call revealed mixed signals: positive revenue growth and share repurchases, but concerns about interest rate sensitivity, competitive pressures, and unclear guidance. The Q&A section showed optimism but lacked specifics, leading to neutral sentiment. Considering the market cap of $2.78 billion, the stock is likely to see a neutral movement (-2% to 2%) as investors weigh the positives against the uncertainties and lack of detailed guidance.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of TCBI’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

TCBI reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-07-17, showcasing a revenue of 307.46M against an estimate of 299.27M, resulting in a 2.74% surprise. The EPS was 1.63, surpassing the expected 1.28 by 27.34% . The stock experienced a 4.46% price change on the earnings day and a 4.41% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did TCBI’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TCBI for 2025/Q3?

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How does TCBI’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from TCBI’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?