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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and EBITDA margin expansion. Despite potential risks like economic uncertainty and supply chain challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook with plans for substantial new store openings and revenue growth in 2025. The Q&A session revealed confidence in expansion strategy and competitive positioning. However, the lack of a share buyback program and increased SG&A expenses are slight negatives. Overall, the positive financial results and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement.
Total Revenues (Q4 2024) MXN16.3 billion, a 32.7% increase year-over-year.
Total Revenues (Full Year 2024) MXN57.4 billion, a 30.3% increase year-over-year.
Net Cash Flows from Operating Activity (Full Year 2024) MXN3.749 million, a 19.4% increase year-over-year.
Net Cash Position (End of Year) Approximately MXN1.4 billion, plus USD150 million from IPO.
EBITDA (Q4 2024) MXN845 million, a 51% growth year-over-year, with a margin of 5.2%.
EBITDA (Full Year 2024) MXN2.8 billion, a 51% growth year-over-year, with a margin of 5%.
SG&A as a Percentage of Revenue (Q4 2024) 15.2%, an increase of 96 basis points year-over-year.
Private Labels as Percentage of Sales (2024) 54%, up from 47% in 2023.
Same Store Sales Growth (Q4 2024) 11.8%, compared to 4Q 2023.
Same Store Sales Growth (Full Year 2024) 13.4%, compared to last year.
Store Openings (Full Year 2024) 484 new stores, a 21% increase over 2023.
Negative Working Capital (End of Year) 10.6% of total revenue, reflecting operational efficiency.
Private Labels Sales Growth: Private labels now represent 54% of sales, up from 47% in 2023.
Store Openings: Opened 138 net new stores in Q4 2024 and a total of 484 new stores for the full year, a 21% increase over 2023.
Same Store Sales Growth: Same store sales growth for Q4 2024 was 11.8%, and for the full year, it was 13.4%.
Revenue Growth: Total revenues for Q4 increased by 32.7% to MXN16.3 billion, and full year revenues increased by 30.3% to MXN57.4 billion.
Negative Working Capital: Adjusted negative working capital represented 10.6% of total revenue, reflecting operational efficiency.
EBITDA Growth: EBITDA for Q4 2024 reached MXN845 million, a 51% growth versus Q4 of last year.
Expansion Plans: Guidance for 2025 includes opening between 500 and 550 new stores and total revenue growth of 26% to 29%.
Economic Uncertainty: The company is operating under an uncertain environment, which may pose risks to its growth and performance.
Regulatory Issues: There are legal matters and compliance costs associated with being a public company, which could impact financial performance.
Supply Chain Challenges: The company is expanding its operations, which may lead to potential supply chain challenges as it opens new stores and distribution centers.
Competitive Pressures: Despite strong performance, the company faces competitive pressures in the retail market, which could affect its market share and profitability.
Cost Management: Increased SG&A expenses, particularly in sales and administrative areas, could impact profitability if not managed effectively.
Store Openings: Opened 138 net new stores in Q4 2024 and a total of 484 new stores for the full year, a 21% increase over 2023.
Private Labels: Private labels now represent 54% of sales, up from 47% in 2023, contributing to increased customer value.
Distribution Centers: Opened two new distribution centers in 2024 to support growth.
Same Store Sales Growth: Guidance for 2025 is between 11% and 14%.
Total Revenue Growth: Guidance for 2025 is in the range of 26% to 29%.
New Store Openings: Plans to open between 500 and 550 new stores in 2025.
Share Buyback Program: None
The earnings call summary highlights strong revenue growth, positive same-store sales trends, and an optimistic outlook for new store openings. Management's confidence in maintaining growth, coupled with strategic allocation of savings and expansion plans, supports a positive sentiment. Despite some uncertainties in guidance, the overall tone is favorable, with no significant competitive threats and strong brand recognition. The positive sentiment is further reinforced by the anticipated operational leverage and successful product mix adaptation, leading to a likely stock price increase in the short term.
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with significant store openings, increased private label penetration, and optimistic revenue and same-store sales growth guidance. The Q&A section provides additional insights, highlighting minimal inflation impact, successful meat and produce pilots, and growing brand resonance among higher-income segments. Although there are concerns about lease expenses and management's vague response on same-store sales sustainability, the overall sentiment is positive. The company's expansion strategy and strong guidance suggest a potential stock price increase.
The earnings call showed strong financial performance with a 35% revenue increase and a 49% rise in operating cash flow. Despite a slight margin decline, the optimistic guidance on talent investments, store expansions, and new tech systems suggests growth. The Q&A highlighted management's confidence in their strategic investments and stable consumer environment. Although there were concerns about unclear responses on labor costs and stock dilution, the overall sentiment leans positive due to the robust financial metrics and strategic growth initiatives.
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and EBITDA margin expansion. Despite potential risks like economic uncertainty and supply chain challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook with plans for substantial new store openings and revenue growth in 2025. The Q&A session revealed confidence in expansion strategy and competitive positioning. However, the lack of a share buyback program and increased SG&A expenses are slight negatives. Overall, the positive financial results and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement.
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