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TARS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc (TARS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
59.830
1 Day change
0.30%
52 Week Range
85.250
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc (TARS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has positive growth prospects and analyst confidence, the current technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the stock is oversold. Additionally, insider selling activity and a lack of recent positive news or catalysts make it prudent to wait for a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is -1.016, indicating a bearish trend. RSI is at 13.334, signaling the stock is oversold. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near its support level (S1: 61.904). The pre-market price is $61.01, slightly above the support level but below the pivot point (67.447).

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with targets ranging from $90 to $105, citing strong sales guidance and growth potential. Hedge funds are buying, with a 987.14% increase in buying activity over the last quarter.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 1503.33% increase in selling activity over the last month. The stock has a 40% chance of declining in the short term, with a potential -9.26% drop over the next month. No recent news or congress trading data to act as a positive catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 128.39% YoY to $151.67M, but net income dropped by -63.77% YoY to -$8.37M. EPS also declined by -66.67% YoY to -0.2. Gross margin improved slightly to 92.8%, up 0.24% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are optimistic, with multiple firms raising price targets (e.g., Mizuho to $101, Oppenheimer to $105, Guggenheim to $90). Analysts highlight strong sales guidance, new-patient demand, and favorable risk/reward dynamics.

Wall Street analysts forecast TARS stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TARS stock price to rise
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 59.830
sliders
Low
68
Averages
89.33
High
100
Current: 59.830
sliders
Low
68
Averages
89.33
High
100
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Outperform
to
Outperform
downgrade
$105 -> $98
AI Analysis
2026-04-24
Reason
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Price Target
$105 -> $98
AI Analysis
2026-04-24
downgrade
Outperform
to
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer assumed coverage of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals with an Outperform rating with a price target of $98, down from $105. The firm views Tarsus as a successful category-creation commercial biotech story, anchored by XDEMVY, the first and only FDA-approved treatment for Demodex blepharitis. The company has recently transitioned from a pre-commercial setup into a validated commercial growth story, with FY2025 net sales of $451.4M and 2026 guidance of $670M-$700M. With 25M DB patients and over 90% coverage, the focus is shifting toward increasing prescribing depth and screening behavior, which Oppenheimer views as a key driver of durable growth.
Mizuho
Graig Suvannavejh
Outperform
maintain
$100 -> $101
2026-03-25
Reason
Mizuho
Graig Suvannavejh
Price Target
$100 -> $101
2026-03-25
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Graig Suvannavejh raised the firm's price target on Tarsus Pharmaceuticals to $101 from $100 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after the company announced its Chinese partner, Grand Pharma, received approval to commercialize TP-03 for the treatment of Demodex blepharitis in the Greater China region. The approval came a bit earlier than expected, says the firm, which remains confident in Tarsus' execution on the U.S. Xdemvy launch and sees a favorable risk/reward with shares down 22% year-to-date.
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