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The company shows strong financial performance with improved cash flow and adjusted operating income, driven by strategic investments in natural color conversion and flavor technologies. Despite some uncertainties in conversion timelines and margin impacts, the guidance for double-digit growth in key areas like the Color Group and Flavors & Extracts suggests optimism. The strategic focus on regulatory-driven opportunities and investment in R&D further supports a positive outlook. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to react positively, but not excessively, resulting in a 2% to 8% increase.
Full Year 2025 Revenue Growth 3% local currency revenue growth year-over-year. Growth attributed to strong sales execution, customer service, and a broad product portfolio.
Full Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Growth 10% local currency adjusted EBITDA growth year-over-year. Growth driven by improved EBITDA margins and operational performance.
Full Year 2025 Adjusted EPS Growth 15% local currency adjusted EPS growth year-over-year. Growth attributed to operational improvements and margin expansion.
Color Group Revenue Growth (2025) 7.4% local currency revenue growth year-over-year. Growth driven by strong natural color conversion momentum and new sales wins.
Color Group Operating Profit Growth (2025) 16.9% local currency operating profit growth year-over-year. Growth due to selling technically differentiated products, cost control, and pricing strategy execution.
Color Group Adjusted EBITDA Margin (2025) Improved to 23.7% from 22.1%, a 160 basis point increase year-over-year. Improvement due to cost control and quality new wins.
Flavors & Extracts Group Revenue Decline (2025) 1.3% local currency revenue decline year-over-year. Decline due to lower sales volumes and higher crop costs in the agricultural ingredients business.
Flavors & Extracts Group Operating Profit Growth (2025) 3.4% local currency operating profit growth year-over-year. Growth driven by innovative flavor technologies and new flavor wins.
Flavors & Extracts Group Adjusted EBITDA Margin (2025) Improved to 16.7%, a 60 basis point increase year-over-year. Improvement attributed to innovative flavor technologies and defensible flavor wins.
Asia Pacific Group Revenue Growth (2025) 2.4% local currency revenue growth year-over-year. Growth despite supply chain disruptions caused by tariff activities.
Asia Pacific Group Operating Profit Growth (2025) 3.8% local currency operating profit growth year-over-year. Growth attributed to overcoming regional demand disruptions.
Asia Pacific Group Adjusted EBITDA Margin (Q4 2025) 22.6%, a 90 basis point increase year-over-year. Improvement due to operational efficiencies.
Q4 2025 Revenue $393.4 million, up from $376.4 million in Q4 2024. Growth attributed to strong performance in the Color Group and other segments.
Q4 2025 Operating Income $38.2 million, down from $42 million in Q4 2024. Decline due to portfolio optimization plan costs.
Q4 2025 Adjusted Operating Income $44.5 million, up from $42.9 million in Q4 2024. Growth attributed to operational improvements.
Q4 2025 Cash Flow from Operations $45 million, up from $21 million in Q4 2024. Increase due to improved operational performance.
Q4 2025 Capital Expenditures $32 million, contributing to $89 million for the full year. Investments focused on natural color production capabilities.
Natural Colors: The company is heavily investing in natural color conversion, which is described as the single largest opportunity in its history. Investments include R&D, production capacity, and supply chain to support this transition. The Color Group achieved 7.4% local currency revenue growth and 16.9% operating profit growth in 2025, driven by natural color products.
Innovative Platforms: Highlighted two successful natural color platforms: UberBeet and Advanced Emulsion Technology (AET). UberBeet provides heat-stable beet solutions for vivid red shades, while AET ensures consistent natural colors across various conditions.
Geographic Expansion: Natural color conversion momentum is strong in the U.S., Canada, and parts of Latin America. Flavors & Extracts Group reported growth in North America, Europe, and Latin America.
Revenue and Profit Growth: Achieved 3% local currency revenue growth, 10% adjusted EBITDA growth, and 15% adjusted EPS growth in 2025. EBITDA margin improved by 100 basis points.
Cost Management: Improved EBITDA margins across all groups, with the Color Group achieving a 160 basis point improvement.
Capital Investments: Planned capital expenditures of $150M-$170M in 2026, with $225M-$250M allocated for natural color conversion between 2025-2028.
Long-term Goals: Targeting $1 billion in sales from natural color conversions and aiming to improve ROIC to mid-teens.
Tariff-induced supply chain disruptions: Tariff activities caused significant supply chain disruptions in the Asia Pacific Group, negatively impacting revenue and operating profit in 2025. These disruptions are expected to linger into the first quarter of 2026.
Unforeseen weather events: Severe rains in California, including unprecedented atmospheric river events, disrupted harvesting activities for agricultural ingredients, leading to a one-time inventory loss of approximately $3 million in Q4 2025. Weather-related impacts also compounded production disruptions.
Higher crop costs and lower sales volumes: The agricultural ingredients business faced significantly higher crop costs and lower sales volumes throughout 2025, negatively impacting financial performance.
Profit leverage challenges: Profit leverage is expected to be challenged in the first half of 2026 due to necessary investments in research and development, production capacity, and supply chain to support natural color conversion opportunities.
Increased capital expenditures: Planned capital expenditures of $150 million to $170 million in 2026 and over $125 million in 2027 for natural color conversion-related investments may strain financial resources in the short term.
Interest expense increase: Interest expense is expected to rise to approximately $36 million in 2026 due to increased debt from natural color investments.
Revenue Growth: Consolidated annual local currency revenue is expected to grow at a mid- to double-digit rate in 2026. The Color Group is projected to achieve high single-digit to double-digit growth, while the Flavors & Extracts and Asia Pacific groups are expected to deliver mid-single to high single-digit growth. Revenue growth will be slower in the first half of 2026 but will accelerate in the second half.
Profit Growth: Adjusted EBITDA is expected to grow at a mid-single-digit to double-digit rate in 2026, with low single-digit growth in the first half and high single-digit to double-digit growth in the second half. Adjusted EPS is projected to grow at a mid-single-digit to high single-digit rate.
Natural Color Conversion: The company anticipates substantial revenue increases from natural color conversions in Q3 and Q4 of 2026. Investments in natural color production and supply chain capacity will continue, with a goal of achieving $1 billion in sales from natural colors by 2028.
Capital Expenditures: Capital expenditures are planned at $150 million to $170 million in 2026, with over $125 million expected in 2027. Total natural color conversion-related capital expenditures are projected to be between $225 million and $250 million from 2025 to 2028.
Flavors & Extracts Group: The group expects a slower start in 2026 with flat revenue and profit in Q1, followed by strengthening performance in the second half of the year. Agricultural ingredients are expected to see improved top-line performance in 2026.
Asia Pacific Group: The group anticipates flat revenue in Q1 2026 due to lingering disruptions but expects a recovery heavily weighted towards the back half of the year.
Debt and Interest Expense: Debt is expected to increase in 2026 due to natural color investments, with interest expense projected at approximately $36 million for the year.
Dividend Policy: The company has a long-standing dividend policy, which remains supported by its balance sheet. However, no specific changes or updates to the dividend policy were mentioned in the call.
Share Buyback Program: The company does not anticipate any share buybacks during the year 2026.
The company shows strong financial performance with improved cash flow and adjusted operating income, driven by strategic investments in natural color conversion and flavor technologies. Despite some uncertainties in conversion timelines and margin impacts, the guidance for double-digit growth in key areas like the Color Group and Flavors & Extracts suggests optimism. The strategic focus on regulatory-driven opportunities and investment in R&D further supports a positive outlook. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to react positively, but not excessively, resulting in a 2% to 8% increase.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with year-over-year growth in revenue and operating income, improved margins, and reduced interest expenses. The Q&A section highlights a strategic focus on reformulation conversions driven by regulatory deadlines, with significant commitments from major players like Walmart. Despite some uncertainties, such as regulatory impacts and reformulation timelines, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by robust financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The market cap suggests a moderate stock price reaction, likely within the 2% to 8% range.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, and improved margins due to operational efficiencies and new sales wins. Despite challenges in converting synthetic to natural colors, the company's strategic focus on natural color innovations and cost control is promising. The Q&A session supports this with management's optimistic outlook for significant growth in natural colors by 2027. Given the market cap, the overall sentiment suggests a positive stock price movement, likely between 2% to 8%.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows modest growth, but challenges like increased capital expenditures and deferred share buybacks are concerns. While the acquisition of Seoli and focus on natural colors are positives, supply chain issues and economic uncertainties persist. The Q&A reveals potential market share gains but also highlights supply chain complexities. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, with positive aspects offset by risks and uncertainties, leading to a neutral stock price prediction over the next two weeks, especially given the company's mid-cap status.
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