The chart below shows how SWK performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SWK sees a -1.66% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.59% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.21%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Performance Exceeds Expectations: Reported EPS of $1.49 exceeded expectations of $1.28, showcasing strong earnings performance.
Stable Revenue Performance: Full year revenues reached $15.4 billion, flat on an organic basis, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market environment.
Gross Margin Improvement: Adjusted gross margin improved to 31.2% in Q4, up 140 basis points year-over-year, driven by supply chain transformation initiatives.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance: Full year adjusted EBITDA was $1.6 billion with a margin of 10.1%, reflecting a 290 basis point expansion compared to 2023.
Free Cash Flow Generation: Free cash flow generation totaled approximately $750 million for the year, supporting debt reduction of $1.1 billion and ongoing capital allocation priorities.
Negative
Flat Fourth Quarter Revenue: Fourth quarter revenue was flat year over year at $3.7 billion, indicating a stagnation in growth despite a 3% organic revenue increase being offset by a 2-point impact from the infrastructure business divestiture and a currency headwind.
Industrial Segment Revenue Decline: The industrial segment experienced a significant 15% decline in revenue on a reported basis, primarily due to the divestiture of the infrastructure business, with organic revenue remaining flat as automotive market softness led to a high single-digit decline in that sector.
Automotive Market Challenges: The automotive business faced a high single-digit organic decline, attributed to reduced light vehicle production schedules and tightened capital expenditure spending, reflecting ongoing challenges in this market.
Muted Demand Outlook: The company anticipates a muted demand environment for the first half of 2025, with expectations of only 1% to 2% organic growth, which is a significant slowdown compared to previous growth rates, indicating potential ongoing market challenges.
Currency Impact on Profit: Currency fluctuations are expected to create a $100 million headwind to profit, with approximately $40 million anticipated as a transactional headwind to gross margin, suggesting that external factors may negatively impact financial performance.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (NYSE:SWK) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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