The chart below shows how REG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, REG sees a -2.13% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.98%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Same Property NOI Growth: Same property NOI growth for Q4 was 4% and 3.6% for the full year, driven by strong tenant demand and base rent growth.
Record Lease Volume: Regency executed nearly 2,000 leases totaling over 9.4 million square feet in 2024, marking a record high volume for the company.
Leasing Fundamentals Strength: The same property lease rate ended the year at 96.7%, with shop occupancy lease rate at 94.1%, indicating strong leasing fundamentals.
Record Development Projects: Development and redevelopment projects started in 2024 totaled nearly $260 million, with blended yields exceeding 10%, the highest level of annual starts in nearly two decades.
Dividend Increase Announcement: A 5% increase in dividends was announced for Q4, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Negative
NOI Growth Slowdown: Same property NOI growth excluding term fees and COVID period reserve collections was only 3.6% for the full year, indicating a slowdown in growth compared to previous periods.
Credit Loss Forecast Stability: The credit loss forecast for 2025 remains unchanged at 75 to 100 basis points of total revenues, reflecting ongoing concerns about tenant bankruptcies and credit risk exposure.
Cost Management Challenges: Operating expenses grew less than 1% year over year, suggesting potential cost management challenges in a rising price environment, which could impact future profitability.
NAREIT FFO Guidance 2025: The guidance for NAREIT FFO in 2025 is only $4.52 to $4.58 per share, indicating a modest growth rate of nearly 6% year over year, which may not meet investor expectations for stronger performance.
Interest Expense Impact: Interest expense is expected to be a headwind, with a noted $0.09 impact due to refinancing activities, which could pressure overall earnings growth.
Earnings call transcript: Regency Centers Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast
REG.O
1.1%