SWI Earnings

SWI reported its earnings on 2025-02-11, showcasing a revenue of against an estimate of 202.82M, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.27 by 0%. The stock experienced a -0.44% price change on the earnings day and a 0.05% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following SWI's earnings announcement on 2025-02-11, the stock price moved by -0.44% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.05% change. Historically, SWI's stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.6% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.6% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q1, analysts estimate SWI's annual revenue to reach 202.67M, while the EPS is projected at 0.27. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between SWI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, SWI's stock price typically moves by -1.6% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.6% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.27 and revenue of 202.67M.

The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong subscription revenue growth (30% YoY), increased ARR, and an EBITDA margin of 48%. Despite a slight decrease in maintenance and license revenues, the focus on subscription strategy and improved profitability (EPS above guidance) are favorable. The Q&A reveals confidence in market alignment and a prudent demand outlook. Furthermore, the raised full-year revenue guidance supports a positive sentiment. Given the company's market cap of around $2 billion, we predict a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.