Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of NCR Atleos Corp(NATL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of NCR Atleos Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-11-05 | After Hours | 1.05 | 1.09 | +3.81 | 1.11B | 1.12B | +0.71 | -7.48 | -5.29 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-08-06 | After Hours | 0.69 | 0.93 | +34.78 | 1.08B | 1.10B | +2.03 | +15.02 | +12.92 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-05-07 | After Hours | 0.41 | 0.64 | +56.10 | 999.51M | 980.00M | -1.95 | -6.49 | -5.60 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-03-03 | After Hours | 0.94 | 1.11 | +18.09 | 1.10B | 1.11B | +0.45 | -3.75 | -6.41 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-08-13 | After Hours | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.45 | 1.08B | 1.08B | +0.02 | -6.50 | -7.01 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-13 | - | - | 0.29 | - | 1.02B | 1.05B | +2.93 | -0.70 | +25.50 |
NATL Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, NCR Atleos Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 1.09, compared to analyst estimates of 1.05 by 3.81% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.12B compared to expectations of 1.11B by 0.71% .
The stock price reacted with a -7.48% one-day change and a -5.29% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in NCR Atleos Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
NATL Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, NCR Atleos Corp(NATL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.15B and an EPS of 1.36.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.07%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.17%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.2% . These revisions correlate with a -7.19% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in NCR Atleos Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between NATL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.07%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.17%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-0.2%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-7.19%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.35B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.01
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Stock Price37.17
NATL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
NCR Atleos Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: 1.09 (Actual) vs.1.05 (Estimate) (3.81%)
Revenue: 1.12B (Actual) vs. 1.11B (Estimate) (0.71%)
Price Reaction: -7.48%(1-Day), -5.29%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.93 (Actual) vs.0.69 (Estimate) (34.78%)
Revenue: 1.10B (Actual) vs. 1.08B (Estimate) (2.03%)
Price Reaction: 15.02%(1-Day), 12.92%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.64 (Actual) vs.0.41 (Estimate) (56.10%)
Revenue: 980.00M (Actual) vs. 999.51M (Estimate) (-1.95%)
Price Reaction: -6.49%(1-Day), -5.60%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NATL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NATL sees a -2.62% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.70% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.46%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -7.48% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -6.56% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
NCR Atleos Corp (NATL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial and strategic performance. The company reports growth in revenue, dealer adoption, and product innovation. Share repurchase plans and AI integration further bolster confidence. Despite some uncertainties in metrics and timelines, overall guidance remains optimistic, with a positive outlook on EBITDA growth and free cash flow. The strategic focus on AI and dealer engagement suggests a positive trajectory, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
NCR Atleos Corp (NATL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call highlights strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and a new partnership with Amex, which supports long-term growth. The company expects significant free cash flow increases and has authorized a substantial share repurchase program. Despite some competitive challenges and uncertainties in cost inflation, the overall sentiment is positive, with strong revenue growth in key segments and a strategic focus on shareholder returns. The company's leverage management and strategic initiatives further support a positive outlook for the stock price.
NCR Atleos Corp (NATL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call presents a positive sentiment overall. The company shows strong growth in key areas like ATM-as-a-Service and self-service banking, with optimistic guidance for future quarters. Despite some macroeconomic challenges, such as tariffs and interest rates, the company is managing these well and expects profitability growth. The share repurchase program and reduced net leverage further enhance the financial outlook. The Q&A section indicates stabilization and potential growth, supporting a positive sentiment. Although some uncertainties exist, the strong performance and strategic initiatives point towards a positive stock price movement.
NCR Atleos Corp (NATL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-08
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with a 105% increase in backlog and 32% revenue growth in the ATM-as-a-Service business. The company is implementing a share buyback plan and expects improved margins and profitability. Despite some management vagueness, the overall sentiment is positive due to strategic growth plans and financial improvements, likely leading to a positive stock price movement.
NCR Atleos Corp (NATL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-04
The earnings call summary shows strong financial metrics, including a 73% YoY increase in adjusted EPS and a 7% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, the optimistic guidance for 2025 EPS growth and potential share buybacks are positive indicators. Despite some uncertainty in the network business rationalization, the overall sentiment remains positive due to high-margin growth in key segments and strategic expansion in new markets.
NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-13
The earnings call presents a mixed but overall positive outlook. Financial performance shows growth with a 4% revenue increase, strong recurring revenue, and improved EBITDA margins. Raised EPS guidance and debt refinancing indicate financial health. The Q&A suggests ongoing growth in key areas like ATM services and EBITDA margins. Although there are challenges like supply chain issues and economic headwinds, the focus on debt reduction and future shareholder returns is promising. The market is likely to react positively, with a potential stock price increase in the 2% to 8% range.
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FAQ
What were the key highlights of NATL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
How did NATL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
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How does NATL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
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