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BUY right now for a short-term rebound setup. SUPN is trading right on key support (~48.2) after a weak regular session but is stabilizing post-market, momentum is stretched (RSI ~30), options positioning is bullish (low put/call), and hedge funds are actively adding. With no near-term news headwinds and an earnings catalyst later (2026-02-26), the current level offers an attractive entry for an impatient buyer looking for a quick bounce toward 49.2–50.2.
Trend/Momentum: Bearish-to-stabilizing. MACD histogram is negative (-0.302) and expanding lower, indicating the prior down-move still has momentum, but RSI(6) at ~29.95 suggests the stock is stretched/near-oversold and prone to mean reversion. Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest the trend is not strongly established, consistent with a potential inflection zone rather than a clean uptrend. Key levels: Current ~48.16 is essentially at S1 (48.217). If buyers defend this zone, the first upside magnet is the pivot (49.214), then R1 (50.211) and R2 (50.827). If price fails to hold, next support is S2 (47.601). Pattern/stat edge: Similar-pattern analysis indicates a high probability of a positive drift (estimated +3.66% next day; +5.36% next week), supporting a tactical buy for a bounce.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

with RSI near oversold, favoring a bounce.
on 2026-02-26 after hours can act as a forward catalyst as positioning builds into the event.
Momentum indicator (MACD) is still deteriorating, so the downtrend pressure hasn’t fully cleared.
No positive newsflow in the last week to act as an immediate headline catalyst.
If 48.2 fails to hold, the next downside level is ~47.6 (S2), which could be tested quickly.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to $192.103M (+9.34% YoY), showing continued top-line growth. Profitability: Net income fell to -$45.117M (-217.20% YoY) and EPS to -$0.80 (-215.94% YoY), signaling a significant deterioration in earnings power despite revenue growth. Margins: Gross margin slipped to 77.47% (-1.81% YoY), a modest decline but still high in absolute terms. Takeaway: Revenue trend is positive, but the sharp swing to losses is a fundamental overhang that makes this more attractive as a tactical/trading buy than a fundamentals-driven long-term buy at this moment.
Most recent update (2025-12-19): Stifel raised the price target to $55 from $50 but maintained a Hold rating. Trend read: price target increased (incrementally more optimistic on valuation/upside), but the unchanged Hold indicates Wall Street still sees enough uncertainty to avoid a clear Buy call. Wall Street pros: Higher PT suggests upside to current ~48, and the stock can rerate if profitability stabilizes. Wall Street cons: Hold stance implies limited conviction given recent earnings deterioration. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; insider trend is neutral (no significant last-month activity).