STWD Stock Price Prediction

Starwood Property Trust Inc

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19.040

+0.110(+0.580%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Starwood Property Trust Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. STWD has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

STWD stock price ended at $19.04 on Thursday, after rising 0.58%

The Starwood Property Trust Inc stock price increased by 0.58% on the last trading day (08 May 2025), rising from 19.05 to 19.04. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.42% , ranging from a day low of $18.95 to a day high of 19.22. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.90% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 539.49K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.09M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 58.89M.

STWD Technical Signals

STWD(Starwood Property Trust Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is -1.30%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of STWD over the last 5 trading days is 41.22M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

STWD Moving Average Analysis

Starwood Property Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 9, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $19.44782733773333, and $19.68466764333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $18.681506348933333, and $18.44466604333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

STWD Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Starwood Property Trust Inc(STWD) as of 07 May 2025 is 26.71%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 19.01 to 18.93. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.256

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.17

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.0525

Bullish

1 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

STWD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Starwood Property Trust Inc(STWD), our algorithm predicts STWD's 1-month price at $19.03, with an -1.33%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.81%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Starwood Property Trust Inc (STWD.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -1.33% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MFC.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.81%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

STWD

Future prediction

Up: -1.33%

MFC

Down: -1.33%Similarity: 96.81%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

MFC.N

96.81%

-1.33%

AVB.N

96.59%

-3.65%

HIW.N

96.57%

+1.06%

BXMT.N

96.31%

-0.73%

WLY.N

95.98%

+1.20%

SAR.N

95.96%

-8.79%

CION.N

95.75%

-5.73%

OBDC.N

95.71%

-1.35%

UNIT.O

95.36%

-10.69%

UDR.N

95.35%

-4.06%

STWD Seasonality Analysis

Based on STWD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in STWD. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Starwood Property Trust Inc (STWD.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while September has the lowest probability (10.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Starwood Property Trust Inc. (STWD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.