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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are strong financial metrics like significant EBITDA growth and a solid cash position, there are concerning factors such as regulatory challenges and a decline in marketing-driven revenue. The lack of full-year guidance and uncertainties in the market further contribute to a neutral outlook. The CEO's share purchase and positive adjusted gross profit are offset by the revenue decline and competitive pressures. Overall, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
Revenue $75 million, a 12% year-over-year decrease due to a mix shift change between marketing-driven business lines and owned and operated product lines.
Adjusted Gross Profit $41.5 million, a 33% year-over-year increase, driven by strong execution and operational efficiencies.
Adjusted EBITDA $12.1 million, up from $400,000 in the prior year quarter, indicating significant year-over-year growth and high execution levels across all businesses.
Owned and Operated Revenue $58 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year decline, primarily due to a 34% annual revenue decrease in marketing businesses.
Partner Network Revenue $70 million, up 4% year-over-year, positively impacted by the in-period recognition of previously withheld partner revenue.
Total Active Partners Decreased 14% from Q4 to around 265 partners, impacted by the push to move partners to Google's new RSOC product for monetization.
Cash on Balance Sheet $43.9 million of unrestricted cash, with a $20 million use of cash in the quarter primarily driven by a $13 million cash payment related to the CouponFollow acquisition earn-out.
Term Loan Debt $275 million outstanding balance, with net consolidated leverage at approximately 4.6 times.
CouponFollow: User sessions were up over 160% year-over-year, driven by a best-in-class experience for both consumers and merchants.
Startpage: User sessions grew 11% year-over-year and 7% sequentially, benefiting from increased consumer demand for privacy.
MapQuest: User sessions were up over 30% year-over-year, with enhancements in mobile apps and new mapping functionalities.
International Revenue: Represented 30% of total owned and operated revenue, up from 29% in Q1 of 2024.
Marketing Campaigns: Launched over 41,000 marketing campaigns, up five times year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA: Came in at $12.1 million, up from $400,000 in the prior year quarter.
Operating Expenses: Seventh straight quarter of year-over-year declines in OpEx, down 5% year-over-year.
AI Integration: Incorporating AI powered automation through Agentic coding to increase scale and streamline operations.
Google Partnership: Navigating volatility due to Google's shift from AdSense to RSOC, impacting revenue.
Regulatory Issues: The company faces uncertainty due to Google's plan to automatically opt out advertisers from AdSense for domains monetization (AFD), which may cause volatility in revenue.
Competitive Pressures: The transition from AFD to Google's new RSOC product is expected to create ongoing volatility that the company will need to manage.
Supply Chain Challenges: There are potential impacts from evolving tariff policies that could affect the company's operations.
Economic Factors: Broader volatility in online advertising demand poses a risk to the company's revenue and growth.
Operational Challenges: The company is experiencing a decline in marketing-driven revenue, which is down 34% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in a non-core, low-gross-margin business segment.
AI Integration: System1 is heavily investing in AI-powered automation through Agentic coding to enhance product development and streamline operations.
International Focus: International revenue now represents 30% of total owned and operated revenue, indicating a strategic focus on expanding in international markets.
Marketing Campaign Automation: In Q1, System1 launched over 41,000 marketing campaigns, a fivefold increase year-over-year, showcasing a strategic push towards advertising campaign automation.
Product Performance: Owned and operated products, including CouponFollow, Startpage, and MapQuest, are performing well, with significant year-over-year growth in user sessions.
Revenue Guidance: Due to uncertainty from Google's policy changes and broader market volatility, System1 does not plan to provide financial guidance for Q2 2025.
Long-term Outlook: Despite current challenges, System1 remains cautiously optimistic about its positioning for medium and long-term growth.
Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $12.1 million, reflecting significant year-over-year growth.
Cash Position: As of March 31, System1 had $43.9 million in unrestricted cash, indicating a solid liquidity position.
Shareholder Purchase: Michael Blend, the CEO, mentioned that he purchased 4.5 million shares of SST through his family foundation, indicating strong personal investment in the company's future.
The earnings call reveals several challenges, including a 43% decline in marketing revenue due to the Google AFD deprecation, traffic quality issues, and reduced advertiser demand. Despite some positive developments in product segments and AI partnerships, the overall financial performance is weak. The Q&A section provided clarity but did not offset the negative sentiment. Given the lack of strong positive catalysts and the presence of significant risks, the stock is likely to experience a negative movement in the short term.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong product revenue growth and increased cash balance are positive, but concerns over dependence on Google, debt leverage, and lack of guidance weigh negatively. The Q&A section didn't reveal new critical insights, and management's optimism about future growth is tempered by current uncertainties. The lack of guidance and reliance on Google's volatile environment are significant concerns, leading to a neutral sentiment for short-term stock movement.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are strong financial metrics like significant EBITDA growth and a solid cash position, there are concerning factors such as regulatory challenges and a decline in marketing-driven revenue. The lack of full-year guidance and uncertainties in the market further contribute to a neutral outlook. The CEO's share purchase and positive adjusted gross profit are offset by the revenue decline and competitive pressures. Overall, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. Strong revenue growth, a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA, and a share repurchase program are positive indicators. However, the refusal to provide Q4 guidance, declining advertising spend, and market volatility due to Google's changes pose concerns. The Q&A reveals management's cautious stance on Google's impact, affecting sentiment. Given these factors, the overall sentiment is neutral, with potential for slight positive movement if uncertainties are resolved.
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