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SRFM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Surf Air Mobility Inc (SRFM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
1.130
1 Day change
-2.59%
52 Week Range
9.910
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/10
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Surf Air Mobility Inc (SRFM) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's financial performance is weak, with significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Insider selling has surged, indicating a lack of confidence from within the company. Additionally, there are no strong positive trading signals or catalysts to support a bullish outlook. The technical indicators also suggest a bearish trend, and analysts have lowered the price target while maintaining a Hold rating. Overall, the stock does not align with the user's investment goals and risk tolerance.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, but RSI is neutral at 40.94, providing no clear signal. Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating a downward trend. Key support levels are at 1.064 and 0.986, with resistance at 1.316 and 1.394. The stock is trading near its pivot point of 1.19, showing limited upward momentum.

Positive Catalysts

  • The On Demand charter services segment drove revenue growth by 7.5% quarter-over-quarter due to higher demand for larger aircraft and international flights.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 1391.19% increase in selling activity over the last month. Financial performance is weak, with revenue, net income, and EPS all showing significant declines. Analysts have lowered the price target from $3.50 to $2.25 and maintained a Hold rating.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -5.71% YoY to $26,448,000. Net income plummeted by -3015.34% YoY to -$36,879,000. EPS declined by -875.00% YoY to -0.62. Gross margin improved to -5.72, up 357.60% YoY, but remains negative.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Canaccord lowered the price target from $3.50 to $2.25 and maintained a Hold rating. The firm's analysis highlighted revenue growth in the On Demand charter services segment but noted overall financial underperformance.

Wall Street analysts forecast SRFM stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SRFM stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.160
sliders
Low
3.5
Averages
7.75
High
12
Current: 1.160
sliders
Low
3.5
Averages
7.75
High
12
Canaccord
Hold
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-16
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-16
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on Surf Air Mobility to $2.25 from $3.50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm said the top-line result came in 2.5% ahead of estimate and met management's Q4 outlook, landing roughly in-line with midpoint guidance. The On Demand charter services segment drove revenue growth for the broader business, expanding 7.5% quarter-over-quarter due to favorable mix from higher demand for larger aircraft and international flights supporting improved revenue per departure.
Canaccord
George Gianarikas
Buy
downgrade
2025-11-14
Reason
Canaccord
George Gianarikas
Price Target
2025-11-14
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord analyst George Gianarikas lowered the firm's price target on Surf Air Mobility to $3.50 from $3.75 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said Q3/25 reflected another quarter of execution on the company's broader transformation plan, highlighted by a second consecutive quarter of profitability in the airline business. The company remains persistent in strengthening its balance sheet by paying down debt though there is dilution risk from the convert, and now has cash runway capable of maintaining operations for at least the near to medium term.
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