Should I Buy 1st Source Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SRCE has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
SRCE stock price ended at $65.03 on Monday, after losing -1.02%
The 1st Source Corp stock price decreased by -1.02% on the last trading day (07 Jul 2025), dropping from 65.3 to 65.03. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.24% , ranging from a day low of $64.7 to a day high of 66.15. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 9.29% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 31.79K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 71.55K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.66M.
SRCE Technical Signals
SRCE(1st Source Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-10. The total price change during this trend is -4.89%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of SRCE over the last 5 trading days is 8.66M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
SRCE Moving Average Analysis
1st Source Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, July 8, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $63.06, and $64.72. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $57.67, and $56.00. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
SRCE Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of 1st Source Corp(SRCE) as of 03 Jul 2025 is %, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 65.09 to 65.70.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
16.865
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-158.029
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
5.628
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.363
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.84
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.216
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 250-day SMA
--
Bearish
SRCE Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, 1st Source Corp (SRCE) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $52.98 and $82.90.
1st Source Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -3.52%
In Jan 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $58.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $53.29 and a high of $66.55.
Feb 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 19.37%
In Feb 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $72.20. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $64.52 and a high of $82.90.
Mar 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.58%
In Mar 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $68.70. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $56.20 and a high of $71.74.
Apr 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.88%
In Apr 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $64.64. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $57.54 and a high of $76.25.
May 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.22%
In May 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $54.91. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $54.85 and a high of $61.63.
Jun 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -2.04%
In Jun 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $59.25. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $52.98 and a high of $61.84.
Jul 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 23.13%
In Jul 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $74.47. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $71.39 and a high of $80.46.
Aug 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.92%
In Aug 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $64.67. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $62.61 and a high of $67.69.
Sep 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.81%
In Sep 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $68.22. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $66.75 and a high of $73.34.
Oct 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 16.14%
In Oct 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $70.24. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $62.95 and a high of $72.65.
Nov 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.57%
In Nov 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $68.69. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $67.21 and a high of $75.63.
Dec 2026: SRCE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.22%
In Dec 2026, 1st Source Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $54.91. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $53.99 and a high of $62.15.
SRCE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to 1st Source Corp(SRCE), our algorithm predicts SRCE's 1-month price at $63.97, with an 7.22%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.84%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for 1st Source Corp (SRCE.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a 7.22% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CBU.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.84%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
SRCE
No Data
CBU
Up: 7.22%Similarity: 96.84%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CBU.N
96.84%
+7.22%
FMNB.O
96.57%
+11.05%
EQBK.N
95.09%
+11.33%
GSBC.O
95.04%
+11.18%
HONE.O
94.94%
+7.93%
PEBO.O
94.89%
+8.88%
EFSC.O
94.74%
+9.01%
MOFG.O
94.60%
+8.11%
TMP.A
94.50%
+8.84%
HFWA.O
94.45%
+11.20%
SRCE Seasonality Analysis
Based on SRCE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is71.43%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in SRCE. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at78.57%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying 1st Source Corp (SRCE.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while August has the lowest probability (30.77%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows 1st Source Corp. (SRCE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy 1st Source Corp (SRCE.O) stock?
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