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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows revenue growth and improved cash position, but ongoing losses and vague guidance create uncertainty. The Q&A highlights management's confidence in future growth, driven by defense spending and committed revenue, yet lacks clarity on key metrics like gross margins. No share repurchase program is a neutral factor. Overall, the positive indicators are balanced by uncertainties, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
GAAP Revenue $110.5 million, increasing 13% year-over-year, driven by increased annual recurring revenue and growth in revenue from space services contracts.
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) $112.2 million, up 5% year-over-year.
Non-GAAP Operating Loss Improved 21% to negative $30.4 million for fiscal year 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Improved 36% to negative $16.1 million for fiscal year 2024.
Free Cash Flow Utilization $45 million, a 16% year-over-year improvement.
Cash Position Ended the year with approximately $20 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities.
Q1 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Loss Expected to range between negative $11 million and negative $13 million.
Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Expected to be in the range of negative $7.5 million and negative $9.5 million.
Q1 2025 Non-GAAP Loss per Share Expected range from negative $0.63 to negative $0.65.
Ending Cash Position for Q1 2025 Expected to be between $34 million and $36 million, up $15.3 million quarter-over-quarter.
AI-driven weather models: Spire introduced AI-driven weather models that deliver medium-range and sub-seasonal forecasts out to 45 days, running 1,000 times faster than traditional models.
Collaboration with NVIDIA: Spire announced a collaboration with NVIDIA to integrate its radio occultation and proprietary data assimilation capabilities with NVIDIA’s Earth-2 Cloud API.
Wildfire Sat Program: Spire was awarded a CAD72 million contract from the Canadian Space Agency for the wildfire sat program.
Government data purchases: Spire expects further opportunities for government data purchases as there is a shift from in-house government programs to commercial services contracts.
Defense spending increase: The European Union, Germany, and the UK have disclosed plans to increase defense budgets, which Spire anticipates will drive revenue growth.
Program management office: Spire established a dedicated program management office to enhance program governance, accountability, and cross-functional collaboration.
Satellite development integration: Spire integrated satellite development and manufacturing processes to emphasize design for manufacturability and continuous improvement.
Space reconnaissance business unit: Spire officially established a space reconnaissance business unit to drive solutions and growth in the defense and intelligence market.
Maritime business sale: Spire is pursuing a dual track process to close the sale of the maritime business, with a transaction expected in the next two to four weeks.
Earnings Expectations: Spire Global, Inc. missed earnings expectations with a reported EPS of $-1.345, compared to expectations of $-0.92.
Regulatory Issues: The company is navigating legal processes related to the sale of its maritime business, with a trial date set for May 28th.
Financial Reporting Challenges: Spire faced significant expenses for accounting, consulting, and legal costs associated with the restatement and maritime transaction.
Revenue Timing Issues: The timing of revenue recognition from space services contracts is impacted by older contracts expiring and newer contracts having deferred revenue.
Market Competition: Increased competition in the space-based weather data market as government agencies shift from in-house programs to commercial solutions.
Economic Factors: The geopolitical environment is influencing defense budgets, with countries like the UK and Germany increasing their defense spending, which may affect Spire's revenue growth.
Operational Efficiency: Spire is focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and productivity, which may be challenged by the need for program governance and accountability.
Focus on Weather and Climate Solutions: Spire is strategically positioned for growth by addressing challenges of severe weather and global security, with a focus on government data purchases and commercial services contracts.
AI-Driven Weather Models: Spire introduced AI-driven weather models that deliver medium-range and sub-seasonal forecasts, enhancing forecasting capabilities for industries affected by weather disruptions.
Space Reconnaissance Business Unit: Spire established a dedicated space reconnaissance business unit to capitalize on increased demand for defense and intelligence applications.
Operational Efficiency Initiatives: Spire is enhancing operational efficiency through a dedicated program management office, optimizing resource allocation, and improving product quality.
New CFO Appointment: Ali Engel has been appointed as the new CFO, bringing experience in navigating complex challenges in rapidly evolving industries.
Q1 2025 Revenue Guidance: Expected revenue for Q1 2025 is projected to range between $22 million to $24 million.
2025 Revenue Growth Outlook: For full year 2025, revenue growth (excluding held-for-sale maritime business) is expected to be approximately 12% to 17%, with larger growth in the second half.
2026 Revenue Growth Projection: For 2026, Spire anticipates approximately 20% revenue growth, excluding the held-for-sale maritime business.
Q1 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Loss: Expected non-GAAP operating loss for Q1 2025 is projected to range between negative $11 million and negative $13 million.
Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA: Expected adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 is projected to be in the range of negative $7.5 million to negative $9.5 million.
Share Repurchase Program: None
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance counterbalance disappointing results due to contract delays. The Q&A highlights potential growth in Europe and the U.S., but uncertainties around the NASA contract and SEC subpoena persist. Positive factors like strong cash position and government contract opportunities are offset by issues with guidance and contract timing. Overall, the stock price is likely to remain stable, leading to a neutral outlook.
The earnings call revealed strong strategic moves, such as securing a significant contract with the Canadian Space Agency and selling the maritime business to strengthen the balance sheet. Despite a slight Q2 revenue guidance reduction, the full-year outlook remains robust. The Q&A highlighted optimism for future growth, increased interest in RF geolocation, and the potential for positive cash flow. While some questions were not fully answered, the overall sentiment is positive, especially with the planned expansion and strong pipeline, suggesting a likely stock price increase in the coming weeks.
The earnings call reveals a significant decline in revenue and increased losses, despite a strengthened balance sheet from the maritime business sale. The Q&A session shows management's reluctance to provide specifics on growth and margins, creating uncertainty. Although there is optimism for future growth and positive adjusted EBITDA, the current financial metrics and guidance are weak. Additionally, the market may react negatively to the forecasted revenue decline and continued losses. The lack of clarity and specifics in the Q&A further dampens sentiment, leading to a negative outlook for the stock price in the short term.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows revenue growth and improved cash position, but ongoing losses and vague guidance create uncertainty. The Q&A highlights management's confidence in future growth, driven by defense spending and committed revenue, yet lacks clarity on key metrics like gross margins. No share repurchase program is a neutral factor. Overall, the positive indicators are balanced by uncertainties, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
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