SNDL Valuation

SNDL Inc

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2.250

+0.01(0.446%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

SNDL Relative Valuation

SNDL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SNDL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

SNDL Inc (SNDL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.77 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 1.18. The fair price of SNDL Inc (SNDL) is between 1.94 to 2.52 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

1.94-2.52

Current Price：2.26

Fair

-311.45

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

SNDL Inc. (SNDL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 29.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -328.40, Undervalued between -328.40 and -149.42, Fairly Valued between 208.54 and -149.42, Overvalued between 208.54 and 387.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 387.52. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

161.31

EV/EBIT

SNDL Inc. (SNDL) has a current EV/EBIT of 161.31. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 9.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -138.07, Undervalued between -138.07 and -64.21, Fairly Valued between 83.51 and -64.21, Overvalued between 83.51 and 157.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 157.38. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 161.31 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

0.83

SNDL Inc. (SNDL) has a current PS of 0.83. The 5-year average PS is 6.46. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -21.07, Undervalued between -21.07 and -7.30, Fairly Valued between 20.23 and -7.30, Overvalued between 20.23 and 34.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 34.00. The current Forward PS of 0.83 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

15.25

P/OCF

SNDL Inc. (SNDL) has a current P/OCF of 15.25. The 5-year average P/OCF is 73.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -398.77, Undervalued between -398.77 and -162.69, Fairly Valued between 309.47 and -162.69, Overvalued between 309.47 and 545.56, and Strongly Overvalued above 545.56. The current Forward P/OCF of 15.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1068.70

P/FCF

SNDL Inc. (SNDL) has a current P/FCF of 1068.70. The 5-year average P/FCF is -10.61. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -396.02, Undervalued between -396.02 and -203.32, Fairly Valued between 182.09 and -203.32, Overvalued between 182.09 and 374.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 374.80. The current Forward P/FCF of 1068.70 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

SNDL Inc (SNDL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.50 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 43.73% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.97, the current P/B ratio is about -25.56% higher. SNDL Inc (SNDL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 6.96%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.16%, the current FCF yield is approximately 4300.20% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -15.81% , the current FCF yield is about -143.99% lower.

0.74

P/B

Median3y

0.50

Median5y

0.97

6.50

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.16

Median5y

-15.81

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SNDL's competitors is 1.08, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. SNDL Inc Corp (SNDL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.83, which is -23.75% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 7.30%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Village Farms International Inc

1.39

-35.02%

333.43M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SNDL increased by 14.21% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -3.18 to -8.29.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 7.30%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SNDL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

7.30%

228.13M → 244.77M

Revenue Growth

-154.13%

-2.18 → 1.18

Margin Expansion

161.04%

-3.18 → -8.29

P/E Change

14.21%