Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that SMTC stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $44.76, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $44.55. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $44.72. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $37.26, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $85.16. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SMTC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
SMTC stock price ended at $42.595 on Monday, after losing-5.01%
The Semtech Corp stock price decreased by -5.01% on the last trading day (07 Jul 2025), dropping from 44 to 42.595. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.80% , ranging from a day low of $42.42 to a day high of 44.455. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 1.71% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 604.89K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.52M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 65.62M.
SMTC Technical Signals
SMTC(Semtech Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-27. The total price change during this trend is -5.15%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of SMTC over the last 5 trading days is 82.34M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
SMTC Moving Average Analysis
Semtech Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, July 8, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $46.94, and $49.13. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $39.86, and $37.67. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
SMTC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Semtech Corp(SMTC) as of 03 Jul 2025 is 20.20%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 43.96 to 44.84. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
3.484
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.715
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.647
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Semtech Corp (SMTC) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $27.53 and $59.20.
Semtech Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.75%
In Jan 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $41.93. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $36.12 and a high of $45.23.
Feb 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 1.66%
In Feb 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $45.23. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $43.64 and a high of $45.49.
Mar 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.88%
In Mar 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $40.10. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $39.81 and a high of $46.02.
Apr 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -1.87%
In Apr 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $43.66. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $41.94 and a high of $50.32.
May 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 5.29%
In May 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $46.85. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $37.42 and a high of $56.09.
Jun 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 15.24%
In Jun 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $51.27. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $50.32 and a high of $53.81.
Jul 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -16.25%
In Jul 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $37.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $36.80 and a high of $45.82.
Aug 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -8.76%
In Aug 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $40.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $30.36 and a high of $51.22.
Sep 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.86%
In Sep 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $41.89. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $32.75 and a high of $47.99.
Oct 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 15.23%
In Oct 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $51.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $49.10 and a high of $59.20.
Nov 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 8.40%
In Nov 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $48.23. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $38.75 and a high of $55.68.
Dec 2026: SMTC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.85%
In Dec 2026, Semtech Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $37.88. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $27.53 and a high of $43.25.
SMTC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Semtech Corp(SMTC), our algorithm predicts SMTC's 1-month price at $39.20, with an -12.57%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.54%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Semtech Corp (SMTC.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 6, 2025 , forecasts a -12.57% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AKA.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.54%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
SMTC
No Data
AKA
Down: -12.57%Similarity: 96.54%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
AKA.N
96.54%
-12.57%
DYAI.O
96.52%
-11.83%
CCO.N
96.43%
+7.84%
GGG.N
96.36%
+3.49%
IDXX.O
96.30%
+10.62%
WRN.A
96.25%
-2.76%
HTGC.N
96.21%
+8.03%
MGPI.O
96.18%
+4.98%
SOHU.O
96.18%
-4.43%
AVNS.N
96.17%
-4.94%
SMTC Seasonality Analysis
Based on SMTC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in SMTC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Semtech Corp (SMTC.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while March has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Semtech Corp. (SMTC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Semtech Corp (SMTC.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SMTC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Semtech Corp (SMTC.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Semtech Corp (SMTC.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while March has the lowest probability (36.36%).
How has Semtech Corp. (SMTC)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
SMTC's stock price fell by -24.29% in 2023,increased by 185.81% in 2024, and went down by 31.41%in 2025.
Is SMTC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
SMTC has 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for SMTC is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of SMTC.
What is the trend of Semtech Corp (SMTC)'s moving average?
Semtech Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of July 08 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for SMTC stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Semtech Corp (SMTC.O) stock, as of July 06 2025, forecasts a -12.57% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AKA stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.54%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for SMTC Stock?
SMTC stock is predicted to reach **$43** by year-end 2025, driven by strong analyst sentiment and improving fundamentals. The stock has a potential upside of **35%** based on analyst targets, with a high of **$56.33** if market conditions remain favorable. Current technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, supported by Fibonacci resistance levels and positive MACD signals.
What is price prediction 2030 for SMTC Stock?
### **Price Prediction for SMTC Stock in 2030**
Based on current trends and analysis, SMTC stock is predicted to reach **$60-$70 by 2030** due to strong semiconductor demand. However, if legal issues persist, the price may be **$40-$50**.