Should I Buy SMHI? SMHI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc (SMHI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

6.830

1 Day change

1.64%

52 Week Range

7.880

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. While the chart is technically bullish, SMHI is pushing into near-term resistance (R1 ~6.87) with weak/declining fundamentals, no fresh catalysts or news tailwinds, and no proprietary buy signals today. I’d wait rather than chase here; if already owned, it’s a hold into the next setup rather than adding now.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0915) and expanding, supporting continued upside momentum; RSI(6) ~63 is neutral-to-slightly bullish (not overbought). Levels: Pivot 6.44. Price 6.85 is trading just below R1 6.872 (immediate overhead resistance). Next resistance R2 7.138. Supports: S1 6.008 then S2 5.742. Tactical read: Technically constructive, but the risk/reward for an impatient entry is less attractive when buying directly into resistance. A cleaner entry would be either (a) a pullback toward ~6.44–6.50 that holds, or (b) a convincing breakout and hold above ~6.87 with follow-through toward ~7.14. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put/call open interest ratio at 0.21 is call-heavy (bullish positioning). Volume put/call is 0.0 (all call volume today: 100 calls vs 0 puts), also bullish for near-term sentiment. Volatility: 30D IV ~86.28 vs HV ~61.7 implies options are pricing elevated forward uncertainty. IV percentile ~49.6 (mid-range), IV rank ~20.83 (not extreme). Net: bullish skew in positioning, but with high implied volatility suggesting the market expects sizable moves (two-sided risk).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technical uptrend remains intact (bullish MA alignment + positive, expanding MACD).
Options market positioning is strongly call-tilted (bullish sentiment).
Potential technical catalyst if SMHI breaks and holds above ~6.87 (R1), opening a path toward ~7.14 (R2).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Fundamental trend is deteriorating (latest quarter shows YoY declines in revenue and profitability).
No news/catalyst in the past week to justify chasing price into resistance.
Pattern-based projection provided indicates downside bias over the next week (-3.61%).
Upcoming earnings: QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-25 after hours with an EPS estimate of -0.65 (event risk and potentially negative narrative if weakness persists).
Market backdrop slightly risk-off (S&P 500 -0.5% on the session).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: 59.19M, down -14.11% YoY (contraction). Net income: 8.99M, down -155.02% YoY (sharp deterioration vs prior-year baseline). EPS: 0.35, down -159.32% YoY. Overall: The top-line and earnings trend is negative, which conflicts with the bullish technical setup and makes buying aggressively at resistance unattractive right now.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so there’s no clear Wall Street consensus signal to lean on. Pros from the data: bullish technicals and call-heavy options positioning. Cons from the data: weakening YoY financial performance and an earnings event ahead with a negative EPS estimate. Influential/political flows: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no significant recent trends). No recent Congress trading data available, and no politician/influential figure transactions were provided.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SMHI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMHI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 6.720

Low

Averages

High

Current: 6.720

Low

Averages

High

Clarksons

Pelle Bibow

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

AI Analysis

2025-09-09

Reason