Should You Buy Sol Gel Technologies Ltd (SLGL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
61.950
1 Day change
1.81%
52 Week Range
75.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
SLGL is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The chart trend is generally bullish (stacked moving averages), but momentum is not confirming (MACD histogram still negative) and the options market is extremely high-IV and illiquid, while the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) shows a severe revenue collapse. Without an Intellectia buy signal today and with weak fundamentals, the risk/reward isn’t attractive for an immediate entry at ~63.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Up 3.20% today to 63.01 in a down market (S&P 500 -0.37%), showing relative strength.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.799 (below 0) and negatively contracting—bearish/weak momentum despite improving contraction; RSI(6) 54.3 is neutral.
Moving Averages: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the primary trend remains up.
Levels: Pivot 61.86 is the near-term line to hold; a break below weakens the setup. Upside resistance is R1 72.07 then R2 78.39; supports at S1 51.65 and S2 45.33.
Quant pattern read: Similar-pattern stats imply slightly negative skew next day (-1.35%) and next month (-1.73%), which does not support chasing strength today.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment/Positioning: Open interest is all calls (call OI 638, put OI 0), producing a put-call ratio of 0—superficially bullish positioning, but it’s one-sided and not necessarily reliable.
Liquidity/Activity: Today’s options volume is 0 (put volume 0, call volume 0), indicating very thin/illiquid options activity.
Volatility: Implied vol (30d) ~575.66 vs historical vol ~185.32, with IV percentile 77.4 (elevated). This signals the market is pricing in very large moves and/or significant uncertainty; it is not a comfortable backdrop for an immediate stock buy unless you have a strong edge/catalyst.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
reiterated Buy and raised PT to $110 (from $50), citing blockbuster potential for SGT-610 (peak annual sales projection approaching ~$640M by mid-2030s).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Fundamental weakness: 2025/Q3 revenue fell to ~$0.4M, down -92.54% YoY—this is a major deterioration in operating scale.
Still unprofitable: Net income and EPS improved YoY but remain deeply negative (net income -$5.942M; EPS -2.13).
No near-term news flow: No news in the last week; absent a fresh catalyst, the stock can drift or mean-revert after strength.
Options risk signal: Extremely high implied volatility with negligible volume suggests uncertainty and poor price discovery.
Flows: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral—no supportive accumulation signal from these cohorts.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: ~$0.4M, down -92.54% YoY (sharp contraction).
Profitability: Net income -$5.942M (improved YoY), EPS -2.13 (improved YoY), but both remain meaningfully negative.
Gross margin: Reported at 100 (data suggests very high margin on low revenue, but the bigger story is the revenue collapse).
Overall: Improving losses off a weak base, but top-line deterioration dominates and makes the fundamental setup unattractive for a chase-buy today.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Coverage cited shows a materially more bullish stance from H.C. Wainwright with a large price target increase to $110 from $50 while maintaining a Buy (2026-01-20).
Wall Street pros: Big upside narrative tied to pipeline/SGT-610 long-term sales potential.
Wall Street cons: The current financials (notably the 2025/Q3 revenue collapse) and lack of near-term catalysts increase execution risk; the bullish PT case appears more long-duration and story-driven than supported by near-term fundamentals.
Politicians/Congress: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast SLGL stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SLGL is 50 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SLGL stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SLGL is 50 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 60.850
Low
50
Averages
50
High
50
Current: 60.850
Low
50
Averages
50
High
50
H.C. Wainwright
NULL -> Buy
upgrade
$50 -> $110
AI Analysis
2026-01-20
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Price Target
$50 -> $110
AI Analysis
2026-01-20
upgrade
NULL -> Buy
Reason
H.C. Wainwright raised the firm's price target on Sol-Gel Technologies to $110 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm now anticipates that SGT-610 may generate peak annual sales approaching $640M by the mid-2030s.
H.C. Wainwright
Raghuram Selvaraju
upgrade
$6 -> $50
2025-10-27
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Raghuram Selvaraju
Price Target
$6 -> $50
2025-10-27
upgrade
Reason
H.C. Wainwright analyst Raghuram Selvaraju raised the firm's price target on Sol-Gel Technologies to $50 from $6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares to reflect the 1-for-10 reverse stock split.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for SLGL
