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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive financial results with increased EBITDA and FFO, and a strong balance sheet, the guidance is weaker with subdued demand and macroeconomic uncertainties. The Q&A highlights specific regional challenges and management's cautious outlook. Despite the positive aspects, the overall sentiment is tempered by uncertainties and challenges in key markets. Given the company's small market cap, the stock price may see moderate fluctuations, but the mixed signals lead to a neutral sentiment prediction.
Adjusted EBITDA $57 million, reflecting a 17% increase from the prior year due to stronger ancillary revenue, better hotel expense management, and savings at the corporate level.
Adjusted FFO $0.21 per diluted share, which is a 17% increase from the prior year, driven by contributions from recent investments and accretive share repurchase activity.
Rooms RevPAR Increased 3.8% in the first quarter, contributing to an 80 basis point expansion in hotel margins.
Total RevPAR Grew 4.3% in the first quarter, contributing to an 80 basis point expansion in hotel margins.
Net Leverage 4.5x trailing EBITDA, indicating a strong balance sheet.
Cash and Cash Equivalents Nearly $150 million, contributing to total liquidity of nearly $650 million.
Share Repurchase $21 million of stock repurchased at a blended price of $8.90 per share, equating to a compelling multiple on earnings.
Capital Investment Activities Expected to be in the range of $80 million to $100 million for the year.
New Product Launch: The Andaz Miami Beach opened on May 3, 2025, after delays in permitting and approvals. This resort is expected to contribute to earnings growth for the next several years.
Market Expansion: The company is expanding its portfolio with the opening of the Andaz Miami Beach and has seen strong RevPAR growth in Washington, D.C. and New Orleans due to events like the Super Bowl and the inauguration.
Operational Efficiency: First quarter EBITDA and FFO exceeded expectations due to better out-of-room spend, solid cost controls, and savings at the corporate office.
RevPAR Growth: Comparable rooms RevPAR increased by 3.8% in Q1, with total RevPAR growing by 4.3%.
Strategic Shift: The company is focusing on capital recycling and investment in its portfolio, with a planned capital investment of $80 million to $100 million for the year.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Operating fundamentals moderated as the quarter progressed due to increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and declining business and consumer confidence, leading to lowered expectations in some markets.
Government Demand Weakness: There is expected continued weakness in government-related business, impacting overall demand.
Supply Chain Challenges: Uncertainty regarding recent tariff announcements poses risks to future capital projects, although most materials for current projects have been procured.
Visibility and Economic Volatility: Increased volatility and uncertainty regarding economic policy changes have limited forward visibility, affecting the company's outlook.
Transient Demand in San Diego: Softer market-wide transient demand in San Diego was noted, although a recovery is expected in the second quarter.
Performance in Wailea: Softer-than-expected performance in Wailea is anticipated for the next couple of quarters due to the reopening of the Kaanapali submarket.
Transaction Market Challenges: The uncertainty in the environment has made finding and completing deals in the transaction market more challenging.
Andaz Miami Beach Opening: The Andaz Miami Beach opened on May 3, 2025, and is expected to deliver earnings growth for the next several years.
Capital Allocation Strategy: Sunstone will continue a balanced approach to capital allocation, utilizing its strong balance sheet and future asset recycling to drive growth in FFO and NAV per share.
Capital Investment Activities: The company plans to invest between $80 million to $100 million in capital projects for the year.
Share Repurchase: Sunstone repurchased $21 million of stock at a blended price of $8.90 per share, indicating a strategy to create shareholder value.
Portfolio Renovations: Recent renovations at the Marriott Long Beach Downtown resulted in a 145% increase in RevPAR.
2025 RevPAR Growth: Total portfolio RevPAR growth is expected to range from 4% to 7% compared to 2024.
Adjusted EBITDAre: Full year adjusted EBITDAre is estimated to range from $235 million to $260 million.
Adjusted FFO per Share: Adjusted FFO per diluted share is projected to range from $0.82 to $0.94.
Quarterly EBITDA Distribution: The first quarter is expected to contribute 23% of the full year EBITDA, with the second quarter being the largest contributor at approximately 28%.
Future Outlook: The outlook reflects a more subdued demand environment, particularly in Wailea, but anticipates growth in the latter part of the year.
Dividend per share: $0.09 per share common dividend for the second quarter.
Share repurchase: Repurchased $21 million of stock at a blended repurchase price of $8.90 per share.
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive indicators like strong group bookings and strategic renovations, there are also concerns such as macroeconomic uncertainties and cautious outlooks for the second half of 2025. The company's conservative guidance and lack of strong catalysts suggest a neutral stock price movement, especially given the market cap of approximately $2.1 billion, which indicates moderate volatility.
The earnings call summary presents a mix of positive and neutral elements. Basic Financial Performance and Product Development are strong, given the Andaz opening and renovations boosting RevPAR. Market Strategy and Financial Health are stable, with balanced capital allocation and share repurchases. Shareholder Return Plan is positive with ongoing repurchases. Despite some concerns in Wailea and Miami Beach, optimistic guidance for other locations and the long-term outlook remain strong. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, leading to a 'Positive' prediction (2% to 8%) for stock price movement.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive financial results with increased EBITDA and FFO, and a strong balance sheet, the guidance is weaker with subdued demand and macroeconomic uncertainties. The Q&A highlights specific regional challenges and management's cautious outlook. Despite the positive aspects, the overall sentiment is tempered by uncertainties and challenges in key markets. Given the company's small market cap, the stock price may see moderate fluctuations, but the mixed signals lead to a neutral sentiment prediction.
The company missed earnings expectations significantly, with EPS much lower than anticipated, which is a strong negative indicator. Additionally, the RevPAR guidance for 2024 indicates a decline, and there are concerns about rising costs and regulatory challenges. Despite positive shareholder return actions, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial performance concerns and uncertain future guidance. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a predicted negative stock price movement of -2% to -8%.
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