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01/11 03:37
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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call summary presents a mix of positive and neutral elements. Basic Financial Performance and Product Development are strong, given the Andaz opening and renovations boosting RevPAR. Market Strategy and Financial Health are stable, with balanced capital allocation and share repurchases. Shareholder Return Plan is positive with ongoing repurchases. Despite some concerns in Wailea and Miami Beach, optimistic guidance for other locations and the long-term outlook remain strong. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, leading to a 'Positive' prediction (2% to 8%) for stock price movement.
RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) Increased by 2.2% year-over-year. Reasons for change include stronger ancillary spend offsetting lighter room revenue growth.
Total RevPAR Grew by 3.7% year-over-year. Reasons for change include increased ancillary spend and better-than-expected performance in certain markets.
Adjusted EBITDAre $73 million for the quarter. No specific year-over-year percentage change mentioned, but performance was generally in line with expectations.
Adjusted FFO (Funds From Operations) $0.28 per diluted share for the quarter. No specific year-over-year percentage change mentioned.
Marriott Long Beach Downtown RevPAR Increased nearly 70% year-over-year. Reasons for change include benefits from recent investment and brand conversion.
Bidwell Marriott Portland RevPAR Increased by 10% year-over-year. Reasons for change include aggressive competition for business and market recovery.
San Francisco RevPAR Grew by 6.5% year-over-year, with total RevPAR growth of over 16%. Reasons for change include a better citywide calendar and increased commercial activity.
Montage Healdsburg Occupancy Increased by over 1,200 basis points year-over-year, with an 18% increase in RevPAR and a 23% increase in total RevPAR. Reasons for change include favorable tax appeal outcome and resilient luxury demand.
Four Seasons Napa Valley Occupancy Increased by over 500 basis points year-over-year, with a 3.5% increase in RevPAR. Reasons for change include strong luxury group and transient travel.
Wailea Beach Resort Performance Experienced lower-than-expected growth due to increased price sensitivity and recovery challenges following fires in the Kaanapali submarket.
Andaz Miami Beach EBITDA Experienced an EBITDA swing of several million dollars due to a delayed opening, missing the high-demand spring break period.
Andaz Miami Beach Opening: The Andaz Miami Beach opened on May 3, 2025, later than planned, missing the high-demand spring break period. This delayed opening caused an EBITDA swing of several million dollars in Q2 and Q3. The resort is now gaining momentum with transient bookings nearing desired levels and positive guest reviews. Group bookings for 2026 are strong, with over 1,800 definite room nights at a $600 rate.
Urban Hotel Performance: Urban hotels led the portfolio with a 9% RevPAR growth, driven by corporate group and business travel demand. Specific properties like Marriott Long Beach Downtown and Bidwell Marriott Portland showed significant RevPAR increases of nearly 70% and 10%, respectively.
Resort Portfolio Trends: Oceanfront resorts in Wailea and Key West faced price sensitivity, leading to lower-than-expected growth. However, Wine Country resorts like Montage Healdsburg and Four Seasons Napa Valley exceeded expectations, with Montage showing an 18% RevPAR increase and a 23% total RevPAR growth.
Capital Recycling: The company sold the Hilton New Orleans St. Charles at a mid-8% cap rate and reinvested proceeds into $100 million of share repurchases, bringing total repurchases since 2022 to nearly $300 million.
Meeting Space Renovations: Renovations are underway at the San Antonio property and planned for the Hilton Bayfront in San Diego, aimed at aligning facilities with guestroom quality and minimizing disruption.
Share Repurchase Strategy: The company has repurchased over 11 million shares in 2025, contributing $0.03 per share of additional FFO. Total share repurchases since 2022 amount to nearly 14% of shares outstanding.
Future Growth Outlook: The company is focusing on long-term growth opportunities, including leveraging increased airline capacity to Maui and marketing funds to boost tourism. The Andaz Miami Beach is expected to contribute significantly to 2026 earnings.
Government and government-related demand: Continued weakness in government and government-related demand in Washington, D.C., has negatively impacted performance. This includes cancellations and underperformance of citywide events reliant on government funding.
Leisure demand environment: Softer leisure demand environment has created headwinds, particularly in Wailea and Key West, contributing to lower-than-expected growth.
Andaz Miami Beach ramp-up: The delayed opening of Andaz Miami Beach and operational issues have caused slower-than-expected ramp-up, leading to EBITDA losses and a more gradual recovery.
Macroeconomic uncertainty: Sustained heightened macroeconomic uncertainty and volatility related to recent policy changes have limited forward visibility and caused operators to adopt a more conservative outlook.
Renovation disruptions: Renovations in San Antonio and planned renovations in San Diego are expected to cause short-term disruptions and headwinds in the third quarter.
Transient rate sensitivity: In San Diego, transient rate sensitivity and softer conversion of group ancillary spend have contributed to lower top-line performance.
Oceanfront resort price sensitivity: Increased price sensitivity at oceanfront resorts in Wailea and Key West has negatively impacted growth.
Kaanapali submarket recovery: The recovery of the Kaanapali submarket following fires has created a transitional period, impacting Wailea Beach Resort's performance in the short term.
Updated 2025 Outlook: Total portfolio RevPAR growth is expected to range from 3% to 5% compared to 2024. Excluding Andaz Miami Beach, RevPAR growth is anticipated between 1% and 3%. Adjusted EBITDAre is projected to range from $226 million to $240 million, and adjusted FFO per diluted share is expected to range from $0.80 to $0.87.
Andaz Miami Beach Projections: The property is expected to generate an EBITDA loss of $2 million to $3 million in Q3 2025 due to the low season. However, profitability is anticipated to accelerate in Q4 2025, with the property positioned for strong performance in 2026, supported by transient bookings, group business, and events like the College Football National Championship, F1, and FIFA World Cup.
Wailea Beach Resort Outlook: Incremental headwinds are expected in Q3 2025, but transient booking volumes are improving, supporting better performance in Q4 2025 and into 2026. Airline capacity to Maui is increasing, and state marketing funds are expected to drive growth.
San Antonio Hotel Renovation: Renovation of meeting space is expected to be completed by year-end 2025, causing short-term disruption in Q3 but aligning the property for long-term growth.
San Diego Hilton Bayfront Renovation: Renovation of meeting space is planned to begin late 2025, with phased updates to minimize disruption.
Capital Allocation and Share Repurchases: The company has repurchased $100 million in shares in 2025, contributing $0.03 per share of additional FFO. Further repurchases will be evaluated based on leverage, diversification, and return profiles.
Macroeconomic and Market Conditions: Heightened macroeconomic uncertainty and limited forward visibility have led to a more conservative outlook for the second half of 2025. Operators are cautious, but there is optimism for potential earnings above revised projections.
Common Dividend: The Board of Directors has authorized a $0.09 per share common dividend for the third quarter.
Preferred Securities Distributions: Routine distributions for Series H and I preferred securities have been declared.
Share Repurchase Activity: More than 11 million shares have been repurchased so far this year, contributing $0.03 per share of additional FFO this year. On a full-year run rate basis, this equates to more than 6% accretion in earnings per share.
Total Share Repurchases Since 2022: Nearly $300 million or nearly 14% of shares outstanding have been repurchased since the start of 2022.
2025 Share Repurchases: $100 million of share repurchases have been completed this year.
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive indicators like strong group bookings and strategic renovations, there are also concerns such as macroeconomic uncertainties and cautious outlooks for the second half of 2025. The company's conservative guidance and lack of strong catalysts suggest a neutral stock price movement, especially given the market cap of approximately $2.1 billion, which indicates moderate volatility.
The earnings call summary presents a mix of positive and neutral elements. Basic Financial Performance and Product Development are strong, given the Andaz opening and renovations boosting RevPAR. Market Strategy and Financial Health are stable, with balanced capital allocation and share repurchases. Shareholder Return Plan is positive with ongoing repurchases. Despite some concerns in Wailea and Miami Beach, optimistic guidance for other locations and the long-term outlook remain strong. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, leading to a 'Positive' prediction (2% to 8%) for stock price movement.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive financial results with increased EBITDA and FFO, and a strong balance sheet, the guidance is weaker with subdued demand and macroeconomic uncertainties. The Q&A highlights specific regional challenges and management's cautious outlook. Despite the positive aspects, the overall sentiment is tempered by uncertainties and challenges in key markets. Given the company's small market cap, the stock price may see moderate fluctuations, but the mixed signals lead to a neutral sentiment prediction.
The company missed earnings expectations significantly, with EPS much lower than anticipated, which is a strong negative indicator. Additionally, the RevPAR guidance for 2024 indicates a decline, and there are concerns about rising costs and regulatory challenges. Despite positive shareholder return actions, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial performance concerns and uncertain future guidance. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a predicted negative stock price movement of -2% to -8%.
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