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SF Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Stifel Financial Corp (SF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
72.670
1 Day change
0.50%
52 Week Range
89.830
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Stifel Financial Corp (SF) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has shown solid financial growth in its latest quarter, the technical indicators, insider selling trends, and lack of significant positive catalysts suggest that the stock may face short-term headwinds. A hold strategy is more appropriate until clearer positive signals emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.308), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 29.703, which is close to oversold but still neutral. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 72.439), with converging moving averages suggesting indecision in price direction. Overall, the technical indicators suggest caution.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in options trading, but the overall volume is low, limiting its reliability as a strong signal.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
11
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 10.15% YoY and net income up 8.67% YoY.

  • Stable performance and consistent dividends from preferred stock SF.PRC, appealing to income-seeking investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 4359.55% over the last month, indicating potential lack of confidence from insiders.

  • The MACD and RSI suggest bearish momentum.

  • Broader market sentiment is negative, with the S&P 500 down 1.1%.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Stifel Financial reported a 10.15% YoY revenue increase to $1.736 billion, net income growth of 8.67% YoY to $255.041 million, and EPS growth of 10.79% YoY to 1.54. This demonstrates solid financial performance and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. TD Cowen lowered its price target to $136 but maintained a Hold rating, citing modest upside potential. Wolfe Research raised its price target to $149 with an Outperform rating, highlighting strong subsector fundamentals. UBS initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $150 price target, emphasizing undervalued growth and margin expansion potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast SF stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SF stock price to rise
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 72.310
sliders
Low
133
Averages
143.67
High
155
Current: 72.310
sliders
Low
133
Averages
143.67
High
155
TD Cowen
Bill Katz
Hold
downgrade
$138 -> $136
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
Reason
TD Cowen
Bill Katz
Price Target
$138 -> $136
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Cowen analyst Bill Katz lowered the firm's price target on Stifel Financial to $136 from $138 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q4 results where they were constructive on execution and see potential for modest upside to initial 2026 KPI's though they also believe the stock is predominantly discounting the intermediary outlook.
Wolfe Research
Steven Chubak
Outperform
maintain
$142 -> $149
2026-01-07
Reason
Wolfe Research
Steven Chubak
Price Target
$142 -> $149
2026-01-07
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research analyst Steven Chubak raised the firm's price target on Stifel Financial to $149 from $142 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares as part of the firm's Top 10 Themes for 2026 note on the Banks, Brokers, and Alternative Managers. Heading into 2026, the firm notes Retail Brokers and Alts are its favorite subsectors.
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