SERA Valuation

Sera Prognostics Inc

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2.380

0(0.000%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

SERA Relative Valuation

SERA's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SERA is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Sera Prognostics Inc (SERA) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 160.07 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -4.50. The fair price of Sera Prognostics Inc (SERA) is between 1.69 to 3.21 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

1.69-3.21

Current Price：2.41

Fair

-2.83

Trailing

Forward

0.55

EV/EBITDA

Sera Prognostics Inc. (SERA) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.55. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -2.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.90, Undervalued between -9.90 and -6.09, Fairly Valued between 1.52 and -6.09, Overvalued between 1.52 and 5.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.33. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.55 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.53

EV/EBIT

Sera Prognostics Inc. (SERA) has a current EV/EBIT of 0.53. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -2.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.97, Undervalued between -9.97 and -6.11, Fairly Valued between 1.61 and -6.11, Overvalued between 1.61 and 5.46, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.46. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 0.53 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

160.07

Sera Prognostics Inc. (SERA) has a current PS of 160.07. The 5-year average PS is 210.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -299.10, Undervalued between -299.10 and -44.41, Fairly Valued between 464.98 and -44.41, Overvalued between 464.98 and 719.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 719.67. The current Forward PS of 160.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Sera Prognostics Inc. (SERA) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is -2.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -11.45, Undervalued between -11.45 and -7.04, Fairly Valued between 1.77 and -7.04, Overvalued between 1.77 and 6.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.17. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Sera Prognostics Inc. (SERA) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.99, Undervalued between -7.99 and -4.69, Fairly Valued between 1.91 and -4.69, Overvalued between 1.91 and 5.21, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.21. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Sera Prognostics Inc (SERA) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.21 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -56.02% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.85, the current P/B ratio is about -47.56% higher. Sera Prognostics Inc (SERA) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -31.06%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -30.42%, the current FCF yield is approximately 2.09% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -30.35% , the current FCF yield is about 2.33% lower.

1.03

P/B

Median3y

2.21

Median5y

1.85

-31.06

FCF Yield

Median3y

-30.42

Median5y

-30.35

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SERA's competitors is 44.17, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Sera Prognostics Inc Corp (SERA) exhibits a P/S ratio of 160.07, which is 262.41% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -29.17%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Burning Rock Biotech Ltd

EUDA Health Holdings Ltd

Radiopharm Theranostics Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SERA decreased by 66.99% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -34.60K to -47.33K.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -29.17%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SERA in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-29.17%

24.00K → 17.00K

Revenue Growth

36.81%

-34.60K → -47.33K

Margin Expansion

-74.63%

-11.36 → -2.88

P/E Change

-66.99%