The recent cancellation of over $580 million in contracts by the Pentagon, as announced by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, has had a direct impact on SAIC and other government contractors. This move is part of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) initiative, which aims to reduce federal expenses and workforce size. SAIC, being a key player in the government contracting sector, is expected to face significant financial pressures, with potential reductions in contracts leading to earnings declines.
Additionally, SAIC reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, with a 6% year-over-year increase in sales to $1.84 billion, beating analyst estimates. Adjusted EPS of $2.57 also surpassed expectations, leading to a 7.1% increase in stock price.
SAIC's stock is currently trading at $106.95, with a 14-day RSI of 49.28, indicating a neutral position. The MACD is slightly bullish at 0.91, suggesting mild upward momentum. Fibonacci resistance levels are at $117.23 and $121.47, while support levels are at $103.54 and $99.30.
Level | Price |
---|---|
Fibonacci R1 | $117.23 |
Fibonacci R2 | $121.47 |
Fibonacci S1 | $103.54 |
Fibonacci S2 | $99.30 |
Fibonacci Pivot | $110.38 |
Based on the analysis, SAIC's stock is expected to face headwinds due to government contract cancellations but may see short-term gains from its positive earnings report. The stock is likely to trade between $103.54 and $117.23, with a potential target price of $112.00 in the next trading week. Given the mixed outlook, it may be prudent to consider selling at resistance levels.
Prediction: The stock price of SAIC is expected to be around $112.00 in the next trading week. Sell near the resistance level of $117.23.
The price of SAIC is predicted to go up 7.3%, based on the high correlation periods with TPIC. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 91.9%.
SAIC
TPIC
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$135 → $115
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$139 → $148
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Price Target
$155 → $120
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