SAIA Valuation

Saia Inc

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282.310

+8.5(3.104%)1D

SAIA Relative Valuation

SAIA's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SAIA is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Saia Inc (SAIA) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 28.09 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 25.76. The fair price of Saia Inc (SAIA) is between 210.31 to 309.36 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

210.31-309.36

Current Price：282.31

Fair

28.09

Trailing

Forward

12.35

EV/EBITDA

Saia Inc. (SAIA) has a current EV/EBITDA of 12.35. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 13.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.30, Undervalued between 7.30 and 10.32, Fairly Valued between 16.35 and 10.32, Overvalued between 16.35 and 19.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.36. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 12.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

21.00

EV/EBIT

Saia Inc. (SAIA) has a current EV/EBIT of 21.00. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 19.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.99, Undervalued between 9.99 and 14.65, Fairly Valued between 23.97 and 14.65, Overvalued between 23.97 and 28.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 28.63. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 21.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

282.31

Saia Inc. (SAIA) has a current PS of 282.31. The 5-year average PS is 4.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -40.61, Undervalued between -40.61 and -17.95, Fairly Valued between 27.36 and -17.95, Overvalued between 27.36 and 50.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.02. The current Forward PS of 282.31 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

12.76

P/OCF

Saia Inc. (SAIA) has a current P/OCF of 12.76. The 5-year average P/OCF is 15.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.48, Undervalued between 7.48 and 11.30, Fairly Valued between 18.95 and 11.30, Overvalued between 18.95 and 22.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.78. The current Forward P/OCF of 12.76 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

56.94

P/FCF

Saia Inc. (SAIA) has a current P/FCF of 56.94. The 5-year average P/FCF is 82.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -402.35, Undervalued between -402.35 and -160.04, Fairly Valued between 324.60 and -160.04, Overvalued between 324.60 and 566.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 566.92. The current Forward P/FCF of 56.94 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Saia Inc (SAIA) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.97. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 5.07 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -41.45% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 5.18, the current P/B ratio is about -42.65% higher. Saia Inc (SAIA) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -0.18%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.90%, the current FCF yield is approximately -79.86% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.21% , the current FCF yield is about -186.81% lower.

2.97

P/B

Median3y

5.07

Median5y

5.18

-0.18

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.90

Median5y

0.21

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SAIA's competitors is 105.96, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Saia Inc Corp (SAIA) exhibits a P/S ratio of 282.31, which is 166.42% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -0.29%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc

TFI International Inc

Schneider National Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SAIA decreased by 50.39% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Revenue Growth from 842.10M to 839.64M.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -6.63%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SAIA in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

-0.29%

842.10M → 839.64M

Revenue Growth

-6.63%

11.01 → 10.28

Margin Expansion

-43.47%

47.19 → 26.68

P/E Change

-50.39%