Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RWT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
RWT stock price ended at $5.61 on Thursday, after losing-0.88%
The Redwood Trust Inc stock price decreased by -0.88% on the last trading day (04 Dec 2025), dropping from 5.65 to 5.61. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.71% , ranging from a day low of $5.57 to a day high of 5.665. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 10.43% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 161.11K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.06M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 5.97M.
RWT Technical Signals
RWT(Redwood Trust Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-11-12. The total price change during this trend is +7.06%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume increased, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of RWT over the last 5 trading days is 5.37M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
RWT Moving Average Analysis
Redwood Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, December 5, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.78, and $6.04. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $4.94, and $4.68. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
RWT Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Redwood Trust Inc(RWT) as of 02 Dec 2025 is %, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 5.58 to 5.54.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.204
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.53
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0374
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $4.14 and $9.16.
Redwood Trust Inc Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.77%
In Jan 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.28. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.88 and a high of $7.48.
Feb 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.23%
In Feb 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.48. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.38 and a high of $8.19.
Mar 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 35.33%
In Mar 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.74. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.41 and a high of $9.16.
Apr 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 24.35%
In Apr 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.11. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.53 and a high of $8.58.
May 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 29.97%
In May 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.43. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.80 and a high of $8.95.
Jun 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 21.72%
In Jun 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.96. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.82 and a high of $8.48.
Jul 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 4.93%
In Jul 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.00. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.01 and a high of $6.50.
Aug 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -2.05%
In Aug 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.60. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.14 and a high of $6.35.
Sep 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 23.63%
In Sep 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.07. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.76 and a high of $7.97.
Oct 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 35.33%
In Oct 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.74. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.81 and a high of $8.00.
Nov 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.02%
In Nov 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.91 and a high of $6.82.
Dec 2026: RWT Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 1.89%
In Dec 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.83. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.83 and a high of $6.92.
RWT Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Redwood Trust Inc(RWT), our algorithm predicts RWT's 1-month price at $4.81, with an -15.48%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.16%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Redwood Trust Inc (RWT.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a -15.48% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AACG.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.16%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
RWT
No Data
AACG
Down: -15.48%Similarity: 96.16%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
AACG.O
96.16%
-15.48%
OFIX.O
96.14%
+16.16%
CLVT.N
95.87%
-10.65%
NOV.N
95.44%
+9.97%
MGNX.O
95.44%
-2.32%
ABR.N
95.36%
+5.42%
MYRG.O
95.30%
0.00%
ASH.N
95.28%
-1.64%
SOWG.O
95.13%
+11.82%
LDOS.N
95.08%
-0.98%
RWT Seasonality Analysis
Based on RWT's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is42.86%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in RWT. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at66.67%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Redwood Trust Inc (RWT.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while September has the lowest probability (35.71%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy Redwood Trust Inc (RWT.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RWT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Redwood Trust Inc (RWT.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Redwood Trust Inc (RWT.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while September has the lowest probability (35.71%).
How has Redwood Trust Inc. (RWT)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
RWT's stock price fell by -6.83% in 2023,decreased by -0.45% in 2024, and went down by 11.02%in 2025.
Is RWT a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
RWT has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for RWT is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of RWT.
What is the trend of Redwood Trust Inc (RWT)'s moving average?
Redwood Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of December 05 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for RWT stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Redwood Trust Inc (RWT.N) stock, as of June 15 2025, forecasts a -15.48% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AACG stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.16%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.83. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.83 and a high of $6.92.
What is price prediction 2030 for Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Redwood Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.24. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $15.20 and a high of $16.40.