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RSG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Republic Services Inc (RSG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
200.020
1 Day change
-0.76%
52 Week Range
258.750
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Republic Services Inc (RSG) is a stable long-term investment option with consistent dividend growth and predictable revenue streams. However, given the current technical indicators showing bearish trends, insider selling, and lack of strong proprietary trading signals, it is recommended to hold off on buying at this moment. The investor's long-term strategy aligns with the company's fundamentals, but the current price trend and market sentiment do not suggest an optimal entry point for an impatient investor.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.435) and contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 61.077, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near the pivot level of 210.468, with resistance at 215.346 and support at 205.59. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Republic Services has outperformed its competitor Waste Management over the past decade, providing stable returns.

  • The company has signed long-term contracts ensuring predictable revenue.

  • Increased dividends by nearly 50% over the past five years and projected $15 billion in free cash flow through

  • Expansion opportunities in fast-growing states like Florida and Texas.

  • Launch of California's first fully electric residential waste collection fleet, emphasizing sustainability.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling, with a significant increase of 2785.37% in the last month.

  • Bearish technical indicators and pre-market price decline of -0.35%.

  • Neutral hedge fund sentiment and no significant trading trends.

  • Analysts' ratings are mostly neutral, with some lowered price targets.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Republic Services reported a 2.20% YoY revenue increase to $4.135 billion, a 6.25% YoY net income increase to $544 million, and a 7.36% YoY EPS increase to $1.75. However, gross margin dropped by -3.12% YoY to 30.79%. These results indicate moderate growth but highlight some margin pressure.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed, with some firms raising price targets (e.g., JPMorgan to $245, Wells Fargo to $252, Citi to $253) and others lowering them (e.g., Barclays to $227, Morgan Stanley to $225). Most ratings are Neutral, with a few Buy and Overweight ratings. Analysts see potential in pricing-led growth and free cash flow but note balanced estimates and slower growth.

Wall Street analysts forecast RSG stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RSG stock price to rise
10 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 201.550
sliders
Low
216.53
Averages
241.6
High
265
Current: 201.550
sliders
Low
216.53
Averages
241.6
High
265
CIBC
Kevin Chiang
Outperformer
maintain
$251 -> $249
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
New
Reason
CIBC
Kevin Chiang
Price Target
$251 -> $249
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
New
maintain
Outperformer
Reason
CIBC analyst Kevin Chiang lowered the firm's price target on Republic Services to $249 from $251 and keeps an Outperformer rating on the shares. Republic Services reported solid Q1 results despite headwinds from weather, fuel surcharge, and lapping non-recurring special project volumes from last year, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Baird
Baird
Neutral
downgrade
$240 -> $230
2026-05-08
New
Reason
Baird
Baird
Price Target
$240 -> $230
2026-05-08
New
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Baird lowered the firm's price target on Republic Services to $230 from $240 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q1 results and where slow groeth is expected with difficult comps ahead.
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