Should I Buy RRX? RRX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Regal Rexnord Corp (RRX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

161.500

1 Day change

-0.35%

52 Week Range

163.380

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

BUY now. The trend is technically bullish (stacked moving averages + positive/expanding MACD), options positioning is strongly call-skewed, and Wall Street price targets sit above the current price (~$159). For an impatient buyer, the current level is a reasonable entry ahead of a potential breakout toward $161.63/$164.37, with the main near-term risk being the 2026-02-04 after-hours earnings event and ongoing insider selling.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish. The moving averages are positively stacked (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which typically signals an established uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.142) and expanding, reinforcing upside momentum. RSI: RSI_6 at ~59.4 is neutral-to-constructive (not overbought), leaving room for continuation. Levels: Pivot support is ~157.20; price at 159.35 is above pivot, which is constructive. Immediate resistance is R1 ~161.63, then R2 ~164.37. If price loses the pivot, next supports are S1 ~152.77 and S2 ~150.03. Pattern-based forward look provided: modest near-term edge (next day +0.17% expected with 50% probability) and a better 1-month bias (+3.53%). Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Bullish skew. Put/Call ratios are very low on both open interest (0.29) and volume (0.1), indicating calls dominate positioning and daily flow. Activity: Volume is elevated vs average (today vs 30D avg ~19.45), suggesting fresh interest. Volatility: IV is high (30D IV ~46.36) with IV percentile ~75.1, meaning options are pricing relatively elevated volatility; this often appears when the market anticipates a catalyst (notably earnings on 2026-02-04). Net read: bullish positioning, but with higher implied move expectations priced in.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technical uptrend + improving momentum (stacked MAs, positive MACD expansion).
Options market is strongly call-skewed (bullish sentiment/positioning).
Analyst targets recently lifted by KeyBanc ($
and Citi ($180), implying upside from ~$
Dividend reaffirmation ($0.35 quarterly) supports shareholder-return narrative.
Hedge fund trend: buying increased ~329% QoQ (supportive institutional demand).
Potential event catalyst: upcoming QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-04 after hours could trigger a breakout if results/guide are strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insider selling trend: selling amount increased ~253% over the last month (can cap near-term upside).
One notable bearish/more cautious sell-side move: Jefferies downgraded to Hold with PT $160, citing slower transformation execution and CEO-transition uncertainty.
Near-term technical overhead: price is approaching resistance at ~161.63; failure to clear it can lead to a pullback toward the ~157 pivot or lower.
Earnings on 2026-02-04 after hours is a binary catalyst (the market is already pricing higher volatility per elevated IV).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth/quality: Revenue rose to ~$1.497B (+1.33% YoY), while profitability improved faster than sales: Net income ~$79.6M (+9.49% YoY) and EPS $1.20 (+10.09% YoY). Margin trend: Gross margin declined to ~37.27% (-1.95% YoY), which is the main weak spot (suggests some cost/price mix pressure), but bottom-line growth indicates operating leverage/cost actions are helping.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Mostly constructive but mixed. KeyBanc (2026-01-26) reiterated Overweight and raised PT to $175 (from $170). Citi (2025-12-11) reiterated Buy and raised PT to $180 (from $175). Barclays (2025-11-03) stayed Overweight and raised PT to $165. Counterpoint: Jefferies (2025-12-10) downgraded to Hold and cut PT to $160, citing execution timing and CEO-transition uncertainty. Wall Street pros view (bull case): improving confidence in end-market inflection and more meaningful data-center exposure; targets above spot price imply upside. Cons view (bear case): transformation taking longer, leadership uncertainty, and the recovery/deleveraging upside may be partly priced in around current levels.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast RRX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RRX is 179.57 USD with a low forecast of 160 USD and a high forecast of 212 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 162.060

Low

160

Averages

179.57

High

212

Current: 162.060

Low

160

Averages

179.57

High

212

KeyBanc

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$170 -> $175

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

Reason

KeyBanc

Price Target

$170 -> $175

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

KeyBanc raised the firm's price target on Regal Rexnord to $175 from $170 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm continues to view long-term risk/reward as positive, with greater confidence around short-cycle end markets inflecting.

Citi

Buy

maintain

$175 -> $180

2025-12-11

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$175 -> $180

2025-12-11

maintain

Buy

Reason

Citi raised the firm's price target on Regal Rexnord to $180 from $175 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated models in the machinery group as part of its 2026 outlook. Citi sees value in the space and has the most conviction in construction and mining growth entering next year. The agriculture and truck markets could remain challenged in the near-term, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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RRX Should I Buy

RRX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Regal Rexnord Corp (RRX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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