RLJ Valuation

RLJ Lodging Trust

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7.700

-0.01(-0.130%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

RLJ Relative Valuation

RLJ's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, RLJ is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.81 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 30.35. The fair price of RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is between -2.12 to 9.07 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

-2.12-9.07

Current Price：7.70

Fair

108.04

Trailing

Forward

10.09

EV/EBITDA

RLJ Lodging Trust. (RLJ) has a current EV/EBITDA of 10.09. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 22.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -96.50, Undervalued between -96.50 and -37.12, Fairly Valued between 81.63 and -37.12, Overvalued between 81.63 and 141.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 141.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 10.09 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

27.47

EV/EBIT

RLJ Lodging Trust. (RLJ) has a current EV/EBIT of 27.47. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 3.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -177.19, Undervalued between -177.19 and -87.04, Fairly Valued between 93.28 and -87.04, Overvalued between 93.28 and 183.43, and Strongly Overvalued above 183.43. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 27.47 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.81

RLJ Lodging Trust. (RLJ) has a current PS of 0.81. The 5-year average PS is 1.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.20, Undervalued between 0.20 and 0.94, Fairly Valued between 2.42 and 0.94, Overvalued between 2.42 and 3.15, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.15. The current Forward PS of 0.81 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

RLJ Lodging Trust. (RLJ) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 10.19. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -25.05, Undervalued between -25.05 and -7.43, Fairly Valued between 27.80 and -7.43, Overvalued between 27.80 and 45.42, and Strongly Overvalued above 45.42. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

22.43

P/FCF

RLJ Lodging Trust. (RLJ) has a current P/FCF of 22.43. The 5-year average P/FCF is -2.07. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -106.74, Undervalued between -106.74 and -54.41, Fairly Valued between 50.27 and -54.41, Overvalued between 50.27 and 102.61, and Strongly Overvalued above 102.61. The current Forward P/FCF of 22.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.80 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -25.51% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.89, the current P/B ratio is about -33.55% higher. RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 25.24%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 18.16%, the current FCF yield is approximately 39.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 10.04% , the current FCF yield is about 151.48% lower.

0.59

P/B

Median3y

0.80

Median5y

0.89

25.24

FCF Yield

Median3y

18.16

Median5y

10.04

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for RLJ's competitors is -4.25, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. RLJ Lodging Trust Corp (RLJ) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 1.14%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust

Easterly Government Properties Inc

Two Harbors Investment Corp

-18.75

-53.68%

1.04B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of RLJ decreased by 11.86% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 23.54 to 28.38.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 1.14%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of RLJ in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

1.14%

324.41M → 328.12M

Revenue Growth

-33.56%

1.46 → 0.97

Margin Expansion

20.56%

23.54 → 28.38

P/E Change

-11.86%