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01/11 03:21
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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with 35% YoY send volume growth, improved transaction expenses, and a significant increase in GAAP net income. Product development is promising with new initiatives like Remitly One and Flex. Despite some uncertainties in guidance and management's vague responses, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong customer growth, strategic investments, and robust shareholder returns through a $200 million repurchase program. The market cap suggests moderate stock price movement, leading to a positive prediction within the 2% to 8% range.
Revenue $419.5 million, up 25% year-over-year. Growth driven by a 35% increase in send volume to $19.5 billion and an 11% increase in send volume per active customer. U.S. revenue grew 28%, and rest of the world revenue grew 20% year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA $61.2 million, representing a 15% margin. This reflects disciplined execution and efficiency improvements.
Send Volume $19.5 billion, up 35% year-over-year. Growth supported by higher transaction frequency and average transaction size, particularly among high-amount senders and business customers.
Quarterly Active Customers Nearly 8.9 million, up 21% year-over-year. Retention levels remained strong.
Take Rate 2.15%, in line with expectations.
Transaction Expenses $146.7 million, 35% of revenue. Excluding provision for transaction losses, other transaction expenses were $121.7 million, improving 38 basis points year-over-year as a percentage of revenue.
Provision for Transaction Losses $25 million, 12.8 basis points as a percentage of send volume, in line with expectations.
Marketing Spend $87.5 million, up 25% year-over-year, representing 20.8% of revenue. Marketing spend per active customer was $9.88, up 3% year-over-year.
Customer Support and Operations Expense $25.9 million, 6.2% of revenue, improving 21 basis points year-over-year.
Technology and Development Expense $55.4 million, improving 53 basis points year-over-year as a percentage of revenue. Investments supported 99.99% uptime and 94% of transactions disbursed in under an hour.
General and Administrative Expense $42.8 million, improving 35 basis points year-over-year as a percentage of revenue.
Stock-Based Compensation $40 million, 9.5% of revenue, approximately 214 basis points lower than the third quarter of 2024.
GAAP Net Income $8.8 million, a significant improvement compared to $1.9 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Remitly One: Introduced as a comprehensive platform for cross-border financial management, including features like Flex (send now, pay later), Remitly Wallet (direct deposit and multicurrency balances), and digital debit cards. Flex has over 100,000 active users and has doubled its revenue sequentially.
Stablecoins: Integrated stablecoins into treasury operations and payout networks, enhancing global fund movement efficiency and offering stability in volatile currency environments like Nigeria and Argentina.
Remitly Business Expansion: Expanded operations to the U.K. and Canada, targeting small businesses for international payments. Business send volume nearly doubled sequentially, with 10,000 businesses onboarded.
High Amount Senders: Focused on high-value transactions, increasing send limits to $100,000 per transfer for U.S. customers. Achieved 40% year-over-year growth in send volume for transactions over $1,000.
Platform Reliability: Achieved 99.99% uptime and 94% of transactions completed in under an hour, with 97% requiring no customer support.
AI and Automation: Leveraged AI for risk management, customer support, and operational efficiencies, reducing costs and improving customer experience.
Digital-First Model Advantage: Positioned to benefit from a 1% tax on cash remittances starting January 2026, which exempts digital transactions, amplifying the advantage of Remitly's digital-first approach.
Geographic and Product Diversification: Focused on expanding customer categories and product offerings, including credit and multicurrency accounts, to drive long-term growth.
Regulatory Changes: The upcoming federal remittance tax on cash transfers (1% tax on cash and physical remittance instruments) could create operational challenges, although it may also provide a tailwind for digital transactions.
Immigration Headwinds: Recent immigration headwinds in key send countries like the U.S. and Canada could potentially weigh on new customer acquisition, impacting growth.
Credit Risk: The Flex product, which allows customers to send now and pay later, carries inherent credit risk. While early repayment activity is strong, there is potential for increased provision for credit losses as the product scales.
Economic Volatility: Expansion into volatile currency environments like Nigeria and Argentina using stablecoins introduces risks related to currency instability and regulatory compliance.
Fraud and Compliance: Maintaining high standards for compliance and security, especially with expanded send limits and new customer categories, could increase exposure to fraud and operational risks.
Customer Acquisition Costs: Marketing investments are expected to grow, particularly as the company targets high-value senders and business customers, which could pressure margins if ROI does not meet expectations.
Competitive Pressures: The company faces competitive pressures in key corridors like Mexico, where localized innovations are driving share gains but may require sustained investment to maintain growth.
Revenue Growth: For Q4 2025, revenue is expected to be between $426 million and $428 million, reflecting a growth rate of 21% to 22%. For the full year 2025, revenue is projected to be between $1.619 billion and $1.621 billion, representing a growth rate of 28%. For 2026, revenue growth is expected to be in the high teens range.
Adjusted EBITDA: For Q4 2025, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $50 million and $52 million, translating to 12% margins. For the full year 2025, adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $234 million and $236 million, representing a 15% margin.
Send Volume Growth: Send volume growth is expected to exceed revenue growth in Q4 2025, with send volume per active customer projected to grow in the mid-single digits.
New Customer Categories and Products: Continued momentum is expected among business and high-amount senders. Flex, a flexible funding solution, is scaling rapidly and becoming an important driver of growth and engagement. Early successes with Flex and Remitly One are laying the groundwork for broader offerings such as credit and multicurrency accounts.
Market Trends: The company is well-positioned to benefit from a shift from cash to digital remittances, aided by the One Big Beautiful Bill going into effect on January 1, 2026, which imposes a 1% tax on cash remittances while exempting digital transactions.
Geographic and Product Expansion: The company plans to expand its reach through new customer categories, geographic expansion, and product innovation, including stablecoins and digital wallet features.
2026 Growth Drivers: Key growth drivers for 2026 include new customer expansion efforts, product portfolio expansion, and the shift from cash to digital remittances. However, immigration headwinds in key send countries like the U.S. and Canada could weigh on new customer acquisition.
Share Repurchase Program: In Q3, we repurchased $11.9 million of shares under our $200 million authorization, reflecting our confidence in Remitly's future and our commitment to building lasting value for both customers and shareholders.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with 35% YoY send volume growth, improved transaction expenses, and a significant increase in GAAP net income. Product development is promising with new initiatives like Remitly One and Flex. Despite some uncertainties in guidance and management's vague responses, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong customer growth, strategic investments, and robust shareholder returns through a $200 million repurchase program. The market cap suggests moderate stock price movement, leading to a positive prediction within the 2% to 8% range.
The earnings call summary indicates strong revenue growth, geographic expansion, and innovative product development, with promising guidance for Q2 and full-year 2025. Despite a one-time fraud cost, the company shows improved marketing efficiency and positive adjusted EBITDA margins. The Q&A section highlights management's enthusiasm for new product launches and stablecoin potential, although some details remain vague. Overall, the positive financial performance, innovative strategies, and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement, especially given the company's small-cap status.
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