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RDCM is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. Despite solid recent fundamentals, the stock is in a clear short-to-long-term downtrend (bearish moving averages and weakening MACD), and Intellectia has no active buy signals. With earnings (Q4/FY2025) imminent, the risk/reward for an immediate entry is not compelling versus waiting for a trend reversal or a post-earnings confirmation move.
Price/Trend: RDCM is trading at 12.52 (+1.22%) while the broader market is down (S&P 500 -0.51%). The trend remains bearish: SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 indicates sustained downside structure. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.0426 and negatively expanding, suggesting bearish momentum is strengthening rather than bottoming. RSI_6 is 28.28 (near oversold), which can support a bounce, but it is not a reliable buy by itself while MACD/MA structure stays bearish. Levels: Pivot 12.613 (price below pivot = weak). Support S1 12.273 then S2 12.063. Resistance R1 12.953 then R2 13.163. A convincing reclaim of the pivot and R1 would be needed to shift the near-term bias. Pattern-based bias: Similar candlestick-pattern stats suggest modest downside drift (-0.7% next week, -1.73% next month), not supportive of an immediate buy.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Upcoming earnings event: RADCOM reports Q4 and full-year 2025 results pre-market on 2026-02-12 with a management call (can create an upside catalyst if results/forward commentary beat expectations).
Business narrative tailwind: RADCOM ACE positioned around AI-driven analytics for 5G network observability (potential demand catalyst).
Recent operating momentum: Prior reported quarter showed strong YoY growth in revenue, EPS, and margins (supports the bull case if sustained).
plus a deteriorating MACD histogram argues downside trend persistence.
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue 18.388M (+16.23% YoY). Profitability: Net income 3.471M (+54.20% YoY) and EPS 0.21 (+50.00% YoY), indicating operating leverage. Margins: Gross margin 76.27% (+2.64% YoY), very strong and improving. Takeaway: Fundamentals are trending positively, but the stock’s price action is not confirming that strength yet.
No analyst rating/price-target change data was provided, so a clear Wall Street pro/con consensus cannot be confirmed here. Based on available info only: Pros would be strong growth and high margins with a 5G/AI analytics narrative; cons would be the current bearish technical trend and near-term earnings uncertainty. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available (past 90 days).
