RCON Valuation

Recon Technology Ltd

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2.600

+0.02(0.775%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

RCON Relative Valuation

RCON's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, RCON is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Recon Technology Ltd (RCON) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 6.82 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -8.41. The fair price of Recon Technology Ltd (RCON) is between 0.69 to 2.50 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 2.68 USD , Recon Technology Ltd is Overvalued By 7.05%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

0.69-2.50

Current Price：2.68

7.05%

Overvalued

-2.42

Trailing

Forward

-5.35

EV/EBITDA

Recon Technology Ltd. (RCON) has a current EV/EBITDA of -5.35. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -14.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -96.82, Undervalued between -96.82 and -55.83, Fairly Valued between 26.13 and -55.83, Overvalued between 26.13 and 67.11, and Strongly Overvalued above 67.11. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -5.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-5.22

EV/EBIT

Recon Technology Ltd. (RCON) has a current EV/EBIT of -5.22. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -12.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -68.11, Undervalued between -68.11 and -40.11, Fairly Valued between 15.89 and -40.11, Overvalued between 15.89 and 43.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 43.89. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -5.22 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.53

Recon Technology Ltd. (RCON) has a current PS of 6.53. The 5-year average PS is 4.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.11, Undervalued between -1.11 and 1.78, Fairly Valued between 7.56 and 1.78, Overvalued between 7.56 and 10.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.45. The current Forward PS of 6.53 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-7.27

P/OCF

Recon Technology Ltd. (RCON) has a current P/OCF of -7.27. The 5-year average P/OCF is -10.45. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -34.71, Undervalued between -34.71 and -22.58, Fairly Valued between 1.67 and -22.58, Overvalued between 1.67 and 13.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.80. The current Forward P/OCF of -7.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Recon Technology Ltd. (RCON) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 24.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -156.73, Undervalued between -156.73 and -66.10, Fairly Valued between 115.16 and -66.10, Overvalued between 115.16 and 205.79, and Strongly Overvalued above 205.79. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Recon Technology Ltd (RCON) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.90 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 14.80% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.27, the current P/B ratio is about -18.16% higher. Recon Technology Ltd (RCON) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -7.73%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -12.83%, the current FCF yield is approximately -39.72% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -13.10% , the current FCF yield is about -40.96% lower.

1.06

P/B

Median3y

0.90

Median5y

1.27

-8.08

FCF Yield

Median3y

-12.83

Median5y

-13.10

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for RCON's competitors is 1.33, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Recon Technology Ltd Corp (RCON) exhibits a P/S ratio of 6.53, which is 391.20% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of %, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Foxx Development Holdings Inc

Taitron Components Inc

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp

Climb Global Solutions Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of RCON increased by 0.00% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Unknown from 0.00 to 0.00.

The secondary factor is the Unknown, contributed 0.00%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of RCON in the past 1 year is driven by Unknown.