Should I Buy RAL? RAL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Ralliant Corp (RAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

52.970

1 Day change

-1.63%

52 Week Range

55.250

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Not a good buy right now. While the longer-term trend still looks constructive (bullish moving averages and strong sell-side support), near-term momentum is weakening (MACD rolling over, price below pivot) and the next major catalyst is earnings on 2026-02-04, which adds event risk given the most recent quarter’s sharp YoY profit/EPS decline. For an impatient buyer, the odds favor waiting for either (1) a momentum turn (MACD improving and price reclaiming ~53.44 pivot) or (2) a cheaper pullback toward ~52.05/51.19 support before buying.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: The moving average stack is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating the broader trend remains up. Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0878) and negatively expanding, signaling weakening short-term momentum despite the bullish MA structure. RSI(6) ~51.26 is neutral, showing no oversold bounce signal. Levels: Price ~52.81 is below the pivot (53.438), which tilts the immediate bias slightly bearish/defensive. Key support sits at S1 52.046 then S2 51.185; resistance levels are R1 54.83 and R2 55.691. Pattern-based projection provided suggests limited upside near-term (slightly negative next day/week; only marginally positive over a month). **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Extremely call-heavy positioning (open interest put/call = 0.08) with zero put volume reported, which reads as strongly bullish/one-sided sentiment. Activity: Today’s options volume (190) is elevated vs its recent average (~106.7%), and open interest is also elevated vs average (~193.7%), implying positioning/interest is building. Volatility: 30D IV ~46.69 vs historical vol ~32.25 suggests options are pricing elevated uncertainty, likely influenced by the upcoming earnings event; IV percentile (~15.66) and IV rank (~5.6) indicate IV is relatively low versus its own history, but still above realized volatility—net: the market is not complacent, yet not at peak fear either.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Theme tailwinds cited by analysts: AI-related order strength, electrification/digitization, grid modernization, and defense technology.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

showed weak profitability trends: net income and EPS down ~56% YoY, which can cap multiple expansion if not explained as one-offs.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue was essentially flat/slightly down (529.1M, -0.49% YoY), but profitability weakened materially: net income 39.9M (-56.11% YoY) and EPS 0.35 (-56.25% YoY). Gross margin also slipped to 50.77% (-3.52% YoY). Overall, the top line is stable, but margins/earnings trend is the key concern to monitor into QDEC 2025 earnings (reported 2026-02-04, after hours; EPS est. 0.67).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Ratings and targets have been moving up and/or initiating positively. Citi upgraded to Buy with PT raised to $61 (from $53). Truist initiated at Buy with $62 PT. Oppenheimer raised PT to $60 and reiterated Outperform. Barclays nudged PT up to $60 and reiterated Overweight. RBC is the more cautious outlier with Sector Perform, though it raised PT to $52. Wall Street pros: Clear optimism on organic growth visibility, earnings ramp narrative, and exposure to attractive end markets (AI/electrification/grid/defense), with a view that valuation can re-rate toward peers. Wall Street cons: The main pushback is execution/visibility as a newer spin-off and the need to prove sustainable margin/earnings strength (reflected in the more neutral RBC stance and the latest quarter’s earnings decline).

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast RAL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RAL is 58.83 USD with a low forecast of 52 USD and a high forecast of 64 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 53.850

Low

Averages

58.83

High

Current: 53.850

Low

Averages

58.83

High

Barclays

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$59 -> $60

AI Analysis

2026-01-07

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$59 -> $60

AI Analysis

2026-01-07

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

Barclays raised the firm's price target on Ralliant to $60 from $59 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted price targets in the multi-industry group as part of its Q4 outlook. It sees a "firmer" demand outlook amid artificial intelligence order strength.

Oppenheimer

Ian Zaffino

Outperform

maintain

$55 -> $60

2025-12-15

Reason

Oppenheimer

Ian Zaffino

Price Target

$55 -> $60

2025-12-15

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Ian Zaffino raised the firm's price target on Ralliant (RAL) to $60 from $55 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes that following the spin from Fortive (FTV) about 6 months ago, Ralliant delivered a solid Q3 and management remains bullish on long-term growth opportunities.

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RAL Should I Buy

RAL Should I Buy

Should You Buy Ralliant Corp (RAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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