Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of RACE stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows strong technical signals with:

• RSI at 71.39 indicating overbought conditions
• Trading above all major moving averages (SMA 5,10,20,60,200)
• Strong upward momentum with MACD positive at 18.87

Fundamental Strength

Ferrari continues to demonstrate robust business performance:

• Revenue growth of 11.8% year-over-year in Q4 2024
• Strong pricing power with minimal volume growth
• Operating margin of 28.3% in 2024
• Unique luxury positioning with controlled supply strategy

Recent Developments

• Analysts maintain a Moderate Buy consensus with a price target of $483.83
• Deutsche Bank initiated coverage with a Hold rating
• RBC Capital raised price target to EUR 500 from EUR 470

Recommendation

Given the current price of $507 and overbought technical indicators, it would be prudent to WAIT for a better entry point. While Ferrari's fundamental story remains strong, the stock appears extended in the short term and may experience a pullback.

Based on the provided data and references, here is the price prediction analysis for Ferrari (RACE) stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows a strong upward trend since 2024, with the price rising from around $340 to over $500 currently. The technical indicators suggest continued momentum.

Price Target Analysis

According to multiple analyst reports from early 2025:

• UBS raised price target to $584 from $513 with a Buy rating
• RBC Capital raised target to €500 (approximately $540) with an Outperform rating
• JP Morgan maintains Buy rating with $525 target
• Deutsche Bank initiated coverage with Hold rating and €430 ($465) target

Key Growth Drivers

1. Strong Product Mix & Demand:

• High-end demand continues to exceed supply despite macro conditions
• Increased average selling prices through personalization and premium models
• First half of 2025 expected to be strong due to Daytona deliveries

2. New Product Pipeline:

• F80 supercar launching in Q4 2025
• Electric vehicle launch planned for later in 2025

Price Prediction for 2025

Based on the analysis, here are the projected scenarios:

• Base Case: $525-540 (most likely)
• Bull Case: $580-600
• Bear Case: $465-480

The base case of $525-540 is supported by:

• Strong order backlog and pricing power
• New model launches driving growth
• Consensus analyst targets clustering around this range
• Technical uptrend remaining intact

The S1 support level for RACE Stock is $467.96 ,The R1 resistant level for RACE Stock is $507.1.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-28, the price of RACE Stock was $466.2.

The target price for RACE Stock according to analyst rating is 494.89, with the highest price target at 575.00 and the lowest at 377.53. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on RACE Stock overall.

The market cap of RACE is $118.5B.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a comprehensive evaluation of RACE's valuation:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows strong momentum with RSI at 71.39 and trading above all major moving averages (SMA 5,10,20,60,200). However, the RSI reading indicates slightly overbought conditions.

Valuation Metrics

Ferrari currently trades at concerning valuation levels:

• Forward P/E: 44.25x (2023/FY)
• EV/EBITDA: 35.14x (2023/FY)
• P/S: 9.28x (2023/FY)
• P/B: 24.30x (2023/FY)

These multiples are significantly above industry averages, suggesting substantial overvaluation.

Key Drivers of High Valuation

1. Brand Power & Pricing Strength

• Industry-leading operating margins of 38.2%
• Deliberate production limits to maintain exclusivity
• Strong demand for personalization services

2. Growth Prospects

• Projected 16.2% annual earnings growth over next 3-5 years
• Upcoming EV launch in 2025
• Record Q4 2024 results with revenue up 14%

Conclusion RACE appears significantly overvalued at current levels based on:

• Elevated valuation multiples across all metrics
• Overbought technical indicators
• Limited production growth potential due to exclusivity strategy
• PEG ratio of 3.11x (anything above 1.0x suggests overvaluation)

While Ferrari's business model and brand strength remain exceptional, the current valuation leaves little room for error or multiple expansion.

Ferrari NV, known as Ferrari, is an Italy-based designer, manufacturer and retailer of sports cars that is incorporated in the Netherlands. It operates under the Ferrari brand. Its sports cars portfolio includes, among others, F12berlinetta, FF, Ferrari 488 GTB, 488 Spider, 458 Speciale, Ferrari California T, F12tdf and LaFerrari. The Company also offers financing services through Ferrari Financial Services. It also produces limited series and one-off cars. The Company divides its regional markets in EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, India and Africa), Americas, Greater China and Rest of APAC (Asia-Pacific region, excluding Greater China) and is active in over 60 markets worldwide through a network of authorized dealers.

Based on the available data and analyst forecasts, here's a prediction for Ferrari (RACE) stock price in 2030:

RACE stock is projected to reach approximately $723 by 2030, representing a 43.6% increase from the current price of $503.43. This forecast is supported by several key factors:

Key Growth Drivers:

• Ferrari's strong brand positioning in the luxury automotive segment and consistent pricing power
• The company's strategic expansion into electric vehicles, with plans to launch new electric models by 2030
• Growing demand in emerging markets and continued strength in traditional markets

The prediction is based on Ferrari's historical performance, current market position, and future growth potential in the luxury automotive sector. The company's focus on maintaining exclusivity while expanding its product lineup supports this long-term price target.

RACE has a total of 5204 employees.