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PRGS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Progress Software Corp (PRGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
25.430
1 Day change
-0.86%
52 Week Range
65.500
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Progress Software Corp (PRGS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term perspective. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, insider selling is significantly high, and there are no recent positive news catalysts. While the company's financial performance in Q4 2025 was impressive, the lack of strong trading signals and the absence of recent political or influential figure trades make it prudent to hold off on buying this stock right now.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for PRGS show a bearish trend. The MACD is negative and contracting, RSI is neutral at 29.258, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The current price is below the pivot level of 31.558, with key support at 27.872 and resistance at 35.244.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The implied volatility (IV) is high at 84.75 with an IV percentile of 96.41, indicating elevated uncertainty. However, the put-call ratios suggest a slightly bullish sentiment in the options market.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 17.54% YoY and net income up 2144.55% YoY. Analysts expect stable results with potential upside from the company's SaaS business and takeout rumors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Significant insider selling, with a 264.25% increase in the last month. No recent news or political/influential figure trades. Analysts have lowered price targets recently, and the stock has a bearish technical setup.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Progress Software reported revenue of $252.67M (up 17.54% YoY), net income of $25.75M (up 2144.55% YoY), and EPS of $0.59 (up 1866.67% YoY). However, gross margin dropped to 71.3% (down 4.59% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a Buy rating but have lowered price targets recently. DA Davidson lowered the target to $50 from $70, citing stable results and potential upside from SaaS and takeout rumors. Citi adjusted its target to $60 from $54, while Jefferies lowered its target to $45, citing concerns about AI monetization and sector valuation.

Wall Street analysts forecast PRGS stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PRGS stock price to rise
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 25.650
sliders
Low
45
Averages
45
High
45
Current: 25.650
sliders
Low
45
Averages
45
High
45
Citi
Fatima Boolani
Buy
downgrade
$60 -> $46
AI Analysis
2026-04-01
New
Reason
Citi
Fatima Boolani
Price Target
$60 -> $46
AI Analysis
2026-04-01
New
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi analyst Fatima Boolani lowered the firm's price target on Progress Software to $46 from $60 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Oppenheimer
Ittai Kidron
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$70 -> $57
2026-03-31
New
Reason
Oppenheimer
Ittai Kidron
Price Target
$70 -> $57
2026-03-31
New
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Ittai Kidron lowered the firm's price target on Progress Software to $57 from $70 to account for industry multiple compression, while keeping an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes Progress delivered a solid Q1, with revenue and earnings coming in ahead of expectations, driven by strong expense discipline and operating margin upside.
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