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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased guidance for EBITDA and EPS, and a strategic partnership with Epic. The Q&A highlights growth in advisory services and stable supply chain conditions. Despite some vague responses, the company's strategic initiatives and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock movement. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a positive stock price movement (2% to 8%) over the next two weeks.
Total full year revenue $986 million, $11 million above the midpoint of the guidance range. Reasons for the increase include better-than-anticipated performance in the Supply Chain Services segment, driven by better contract penetration and ramp-up of new member spend.
Adjusted EPS $1.54, $0.11 above the high end of the guidance range. This was due to better-than-expected revenue in the Supply Chain Services segment and a lower share count.
Net revenue (Q4) $258 million, increased 1% sequentially but declined year-over-year. The decline was largely driven by higher fee share from contract renewals, which are now mostly completed.
GAAP net income and EPS (Q4) $18 million or $0.22 per share, decreased from the prior year period. The decrease was mainly due to lower revenue in the current year quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA (Q4) $71 million, flat sequentially with a margin of 27.6%. This was better than expected due to high-margin flow-through from revenue outperformance in Supply Chain Services.
Free cash flow (FY 2025) $181 million, decreased $48 million year-over-year. The decrease was mainly due to higher performance-related compensation payments and the timing of payments to OMNIA, partially offset by cash received from a derivative lawsuit settlement and a dividend distribution from a minority investment.
Gross administrative fees (Supply Chain Services) Grew over 3% in fiscal year 2025. This growth was driven by higher contract penetration with existing members and onboarding of new members.
Other Supply Chain Services revenue Driven by 17% growth in the supply chain co-management business and 15% growth in the digital supply chain business. Reasons include new engagements with members and further expansion of solutions to providers and suppliers.
Acquisition of IllumiCare: Premier acquired IllumiCare to enhance real-time insights at the point of care, leveraging AI capabilities. This complements their clinical decision support offerings and expands their addressable market.
Expansion in GPO pharmacy and food portfolios: Premier's pharmacy and food portfolios are attracting non-member organizations, serving as entry points for broader engagement and delivering steady growth.
Supply Chain Services performance: The segment exceeded expectations with increased contract penetration and onboarding of new members. Growth was observed in MedSurg, pharmacy, food, and purchase services categories.
Cost structure optimization: Premier reduced operating expenses by $40 million annually and plans to reinvest savings into growth areas.
Focus on long-term value creation: Premier is helping health systems move beyond short-term cost containment to structural changes for operational resilience and long-term value.
Advisory business momentum: Premier signed four large advisory deals and is building a robust pipeline, indicating enterprise-wide transformation demand.
Financial pressures on member hospitals and health systems: Mounting financial pressures, including reimbursement cuts, are forcing health systems to rethink cost structures and long-term sustainability, posing challenges to Premier's member base and potentially impacting demand for services.
Reimbursement uncertainty and cost pressures: Ongoing cost pressures and reimbursement uncertainty are driving demand for margin improvement solutions, but also create risks for Premier's financial performance and member engagement.
Tariff impacts: Potential tariff impacts could disrupt supply chain operations and increase costs, affecting the company's Supply Chain Services segment.
Contract renewals and fee share increases: Higher fee share from contract renewals is impacting revenue growth, with fee share expected to stabilize in the high 60% range, creating short-term financial challenges.
Performance Services segment rebuilding: The Performance Services segment is still rebuilding its sales funnel, with lower enterprise license revenue and a need to regain double-digit growth, indicating operational challenges.
Transition and wind-down of Contigo Health assets: The ongoing transition and wind-down of Contigo Health assets may create temporary disruptions and financial impacts.
Economic uncertainties: Broader economic uncertainties could impact member hospitals' financial health and their ability to engage with Premier's services.
Revenue Projections for FY 2026: Total net revenue is expected to range between $940 million and $1 billion. Segment-wise, Supply Chain Services revenue is projected to be $590 million to $620 million, and Performance Services revenue is expected to be $350 million to $380 million.
Adjusted EBITDA and EPS for FY 2026: Adjusted EBITDA is projected to range from $230 million to $245 million, while adjusted EPS is expected to be between $1.33 and $1.43.
Free Cash Flow Conversion: Free cash flow conversion is anticipated to be in the range of 70% to 80% for fiscal year 2026.
Operating Expenses: Operating expenses are expected to slightly decrease year-over-year in fiscal year 2026, despite reinvestments in faster-growing areas of the business.
Quarterly Guidance for Q1 FY 2026: Total net revenue is expected to range between $230 million and $245 million. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $45 million to $50 million, and adjusted EPS is expected to range from $0.27 to $0.32.
Growth Expectations for FY 2027: The company expects to return to positive growth for total net revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS in fiscal year 2027.
Advisory Business Growth: The advisory business is expected to return to double-digit growth in fiscal year 2026, supported by a robust pipeline of opportunities and recent large contract wins.
Supply Chain Services Growth Opportunities: Growth opportunities are identified in the supply chain co-management business and digital supply chain business, which grew 17% and 15%, respectively, in fiscal year 2025. These areas are expected to continue growing in fiscal year 2026 and beyond.
Quarterly Cash Dividend: Premier, Inc. continued to return meaningful capital to stockholders through its quarterly cash dividend, totaling $77 million in fiscal year 2025, representing a nearly 4% dividend yield.
Accelerated Share Repurchase Program: Premier, Inc. completed a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program in mid-August 2025, bringing the total amount of common stock repurchased to $800 million under its $1 billion authorization, which expired on June 30, 2025.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased guidance for EBITDA and EPS, and a strategic partnership with Epic. The Q&A highlights growth in advisory services and stable supply chain conditions. Despite some vague responses, the company's strategic initiatives and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock movement. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a positive stock price movement (2% to 8%) over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong financial metrics with increased adjusted EPS and EBITDA, but lower net revenue and challenges in Performance Services. The Q&A highlights concerns about rising costs, tariffs, and workforce shortages. Positive factors include a share repurchase program and dividend yield, but these are offset by uncertainties in revenue guidance and macroeconomic pressures. Given the company's market cap and the balanced positive and negative elements, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong shareholder returns via buybacks and dividends, but financials show declining revenue and a net loss due to impairment charges. The Q&A highlights resilience in administrative fees and supply chain strategies but also reveals uncertainties regarding tariffs and consulting services. Given the stable guidance and mixed financial performance, the stock is likely to remain neutral, with potential slight fluctuations due to market sentiment.
The earnings call indicates mixed signals: financial performance declined YoY, but there was a notable gain from a lawsuit settlement. The company announced a significant share repurchase and dividend payout, which are positive. However, management's vague responses on certain issues during the Q&A, coupled with an 8% revenue decline, suggest uncertainty. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, resulting in a neutral stock price prediction.
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