The chart below shows how PHX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PHX sees a +2.88% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.17% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.02%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Record Royalty Volumes: 1. Record Royalty Volumes: The current quarter’s royalty volumes represent the second highest in the history of PHX, with a total of 2,098 Mcfe despite a challenging natural gas macro environment.
Well Activity Surge: 2. Increased Well Activity: Over the past year, the number of gross wells in the SpringBoard III area of Oklahoma has doubled from 20 to around 40, indicating a significant increase in drilling activity.
Debt Reduction Achievement: 3. Debt Reduction: PHX reduced its debt by $5 million or approximately 15% year-to-date, demonstrating a commitment to financial strength and stability.
Quarterly Dividend Approval: 4. Quarterly Dividend: The Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.04 per share, reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to grow its asset base and return capital to shareholders.
Well Location Inventory: 5. Strong Well Inventory: PHX maintains an inventory of approximately 2,000 gross undeveloped well locations, ensuring a steady pipeline for future production growth.
Negative
Revenue Decline Analysis: 1. Declining Revenue: Natural gas, oil, and NGL sales revenues decreased 20% to $7.9 million compared to the prior sequential quarter due primarily to a decrease in production volumes.
Production Volume Decline: 2. Decreased Production Volumes: Total corporate production decreased 20% from the quarter ended June 30, 2024, to 2,379 Mcfe, with royalty production down 23% to 2,098 Mcfe compared to the prior sequential quarter.
Declining Commodity Prices: 3. Lower Realized Prices: Realized natural gas prices for Q3 2024 averaged $2 per Mcf, down from $2.05 in Q2 2024, while realized oil prices averaged $74.83, down 3% from Q2 2024, and NGL prices averaged $19.60 a barrel, down 18% from Q2 2024.
Decline in Adjusted EBITDA: 4. Reduced Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA was down to $4.9 million in Q3 2024 compared to $6.4 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to lower production volumes.
Net Income Decrease: 5. Net Income Decline: Net income for the quarter was $1.1 million or $0.03 per share, compared to $1.3 million or $0.04 per share in the prior sequential quarter.
PHX Minerals Inc. (PHX) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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