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01/09 21:47
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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong balance sheet and growth in water utility, but challenges in land development and single-family rentals. The Q&A reveals market headwinds and vague responses on acquisitions, which could cause investor uncertainty. However, the company’s strategic positioning in water and affordable housing may offset some concerns. Overall, the sentiment is neutral due to offsetting positive and negative factors.
Revenue for Q4 It was the highest quarter, slightly down, mostly due to the housing headwinds and pushing some of that revenue recognition from our percent completion into Q1 2026.
Net income and earnings per share for Q4 Profit margins remained solid due to the diversity of the company's revenue streams. Q4 was the highest quarter with solid performance on both net income and earnings.
Year-end revenue and gross profit Slightly below expectations due to housing headwinds pushing some percent complete revenue into 2026. However, net income and earnings per share exceeded expectations due to stronger-than-expected oil and gas royalty income.
Oil and gas royalty income Exceeded expectations due to the completion of 6 or 7 wells in the largest portion of the royalty estate, which started producing in 2025.
Forecasted net income Approximately $12.5 million, slightly lower revenue from land development due to revenue being pushed into 2026. Higher costs of revenue were driven by tariffs and inflation, but lower G&A expenses and stronger oil and gas royalties helped exceed the forecast.
Water Utility segment revenue Recurring revenue from 1,600 commercial connection points, industrial water sales, and tap fee revenue from land development. Tap fees are around $40,000 per connection, contributing to high margins and profitability.
Customer growth in Water Utility 22% CAGR in customer growth, leveraging recurring and perpetual customer growth.
Land Development segment revenue Sales were below expectations due to housing headwinds. Deferred revenues of $800,000 spilled into Q1 2026. Phase 2C delivered 228 lots, and Phase 2D is 43% complete.
Single-family rentals Struggled in 2025 due to regulatory issues but is expected to see substantial growth in 2026 and 2027. 40 homes are under contract, with 5 units delivered in Q1 2026.
Balance sheet and liquidity Strong balance sheet with investments in water systems, land development, and single-family rentals. Debt is primarily tied to single-family home rentals.
Single-family rentals: The company is expanding its single-family rental portfolio, with 40 homes under contract for delivery in fiscal 2026. This is expected to grow to 100 units in Phase 2 and potentially 250-300 units at full build-out.
Water Utility segment: The company has over 1,600 commercial connection points out of a potential 60,000. Tap fees for water and wastewater are around $40,000 per connection, contributing to high margins.
Land development and housing market: The company is adapting to housing market headwinds by pacing lot deliveries to match builder demand. Phase 2D is 43% complete, with revenues spilling into fiscal 2026.
Commercial development: Plans to double land development revenues by introducing commercial lots, which are expected to be valued at twice the residential lots. This is tied to the construction of a new interchange to improve access.
Revenue diversity: The company benefits from diverse revenue streams, including water utilities, land development, oil and gas royalties, and single-family rentals.
Cost management: Lower G&A expenses helped offset higher costs of revenue due to tariffs and inflation.
Interchange construction: Plans to construct a new interchange to support commercial development and improve transportation access, expected to significantly boost land development revenues.
Asset monetization: Focus on monetizing legacy assets and maintaining strong liquidity while reinvesting in high-margin segments like water utilities and single-family rentals.
Housing headwinds: Revenue for Q4 was slightly down due to housing headwinds, pushing some revenue recognition into Q1 2026. Sales in the Land Development segment were below expectations due to these headwinds, impacting customer service and inventory management.
Regulatory climate and permitting delays: Regulatory issues delayed revenue recognition and impacted single-family rental growth. For example, $800,000 of deferred revenues spilled into Q1 due to permitting delays, and updated building codes caused delays in processing homebuilder permits.
Inflation and tariffs: Slightly higher costs of revenue were driven by inflation and tariffs, increasing the cost of operations.
Oil and gas revenue variability: Oil and gas royalty income exceeded expectations due to new wells, but the company acknowledged the unpredictability of oil prices and its impact on revenue.
Market dynamics and flexibility: The company highlighted the need to adjust its business model to changing market dynamics, such as dialing up or down land development activities to match customer needs, which could impact operational efficiency.
Single-family rental delays: Delays in single-family rental deliveries due to regulatory issues and building code updates slowed the growth of this revenue stream.
Commercial development dependency: Future commercial development revenue is dependent on the completion of an interchange and sufficient residential rooftops, which introduces timing and execution risks.
Revenue Expectations: Revenue for Q4 was the highest quarter but slightly down due to housing headwinds, pushing some revenue recognition into Q1 2026. Year-end revenue was slightly below expectations due to housing headwinds and deferred revenues spilling into 2026.
Net Income and Earnings Per Share: Net income and earnings per share exceeded expectations, largely due to stronger-than-projected oil and gas royalty income from new wells coming online in 2025.
Water Utility Segment: The company expects to serve 60,000 connections in the long term, with recurring revenue growing as connections increase. Tap fees are projected to grow due to the scarcity value of water. A slight increase in water production is expected in 2026.
Oil and Gas Segment: A significant increase in oil and gas deliveries is expected in 2026 due to ongoing drilling activities on the Lowry Ranch.
Land Development Segment: Phase 2D is expected to complete in 2026, with visibility into Phase 2E. Deferred revenues from Phase 2C will contribute to Q1 2026. The company plans to accelerate single-family rental growth in 2026 and 2027.
Single-Family Rentals: A substantial increase in single-family rentals is expected in 2026 and 2027, with 40 homes under contract and deliveries paced at 5 units per month.
Commercial Development: Commercial lot deliveries are expected to double land development revenues by 2028, supported by the construction of a new interchange and increased rooftops.
Short-Term Outlook: Recurring revenue growth is expected from water customers and single-family rentals. Land development is projected to reach 30% completion, with single-family rentals growing to 100 units.
Long-Term Outlook: Sky Ranch build-out is expected within 7-10 years, with total land development revenues reaching $700 million and recurring revenues around $15-16 million annually.
share repurchase program: We continue to reinvest in ourselves, probably a little more conservative in 2025, mostly because of the housing headwinds and wanting to make sure that we're pacing. We had a lot of chips on the table last summer, really dialing up the absorption of our lots. And we wanted to make sure that we weren't pushing our homebuilder customers into a risk profile that really shifted most of that from our risk to their risk. So we wanted to balance that out. So we were a little bit more conservative than I think we would have otherwise been, but we continue to reinvest in the share repurchase program. Give you kind of a profile of how we were performing quarter-over-quarter in that.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record high revenues in Q4 and significant growth in net income and EPS. There is optimistic guidance for 2026, including increased oil and gas deliveries, growth in single-family rentals, and commercial development prospects. The Q&A section indicates a cautious but strategic approach to acquisitions and growth, with positive sentiment towards data center opportunities. Despite some uncertainty in 2027 guidance, the overall tone is positive, with strong recurring revenue growth and strategic expansions likely to boost stock price.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong balance sheet and growth in water utility, but challenges in land development and single-family rentals. The Q&A reveals market headwinds and vague responses on acquisitions, which could cause investor uncertainty. However, the company’s strategic positioning in water and affordable housing may offset some concerns. Overall, the sentiment is neutral due to offsetting positive and negative factors.
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While the company shows strong financial metrics with a 63% gross margin and a share repurchase program, there are notable risks such as regulatory delays and competitive pressures. The Q&A section reveals uncertainties in water rights and reservoir development, which may concern investors. The market conditions and economic uncertainties further temper the positive aspects. Overall, the neutral sentiment reflects a balance of positive financial performance and strategic risks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is record revenue growth and a share repurchase program, challenges such as seasonal performance, regulatory issues, and supply chain concerns temper enthusiasm. The Q&A section reveals strong demand in the real estate market but also highlights management's unclear responses on land acquisition timelines, raising uncertainties. The overall impact on stock price is likely neutral, as positive elements are balanced by potential risks.
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