Should You Buy PAR Technology Corp (PAR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
27.240
1 Day change
-1.20%
52 Week Range
74.390
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. PAR is in a strong short-term downtrend (bearish MA stack and worsening MACD) despite being deeply oversold (RSI_6 ~15). With no Intellectia buy signals today and options flow skewing heavily to puts, the higher-probability setup is continued weakness/chop rather than an immediate rebound you can rely on.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish. The moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling sustained downside momentum. MACD histogram (-1.046) is below zero and expanding negatively, confirming the downtrend is still strengthening. RSI_6 at ~15 indicates extreme oversold conditions (bounce risk), but oversold in a confirmed downtrend often means “cheap can get cheaper.” Key levels: nearest support S1 ~28.40 (price is already below/around this area pre-market at ~27.38), then S2 ~25.47 as the next downside reference. Pivot resistance is far above at ~33.14, implying a sizable recovery is needed to regain a neutral posture.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Pattern-based projection provided: ~70% chance of -0.65% next day and -1.09% next week, with a modest +2.28% next month—suggesting near-term pressure is still the base case.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment is mixed-to-bearish near-term. Open interest put/call at 0.65 suggests positioning is not overly defensive (more calls outstanding than puts), but today’s put/call volume at 10.38 shows traders are aggressively buying/using puts right now (strong short-term caution/hedging). Options activity is elevated (today’s volume ~166.78% of 30-day avg; OI ~122.77% of avg). Implied vol is very high (30D IV ~72.45; IV percentile ~91.2), consistent with heightened uncertainty and typically “fearful” pricing.
Technical Summary
Sell
10
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Strategically, this can strengthen consumer data and loyalty capabilities by turning anonymous transactions into identified profiles—potentially improving upsell, retention, and enterprise value of PAR’s restaurant tech stack. Revenue growth remains strong (2025/Q3 revenue +23.18% YoY).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Options flow is heavily put-dominant on volume, suggesting traders are leaning defensive right now. Profitability and efficiency weakened in the latest quarter: net loss widened (net income -8.35% YoY), EPS down (-18.18% YoY), and gross margin fell to 38.45% (-7.77% YoY). Industry multiple compression is explicitly referenced in recent analyst commentary (headwind for valuation).
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue grew strongly to $119.183M (+23.18% YoY), indicating solid top-line momentum. However, profitability deteriorated: net income was -$18.177M (loss widened, -8.35% YoY), EPS -0.45 (down -18.18% YoY), and gross margin compressed to 38.45% (-7.77% YoY). Net result: growth is good, but margins and losses are moving the wrong way, which tends to weigh on the stock—especially in a risk-off tape.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst actions are mixed and not uniformly bullish. Lake Street kept a Buy but cut the price target to $48 from $65, citing multiple compression despite rollout schedules improving and mid-teens ARR growth being reiterated (positive on fundamentals, cautious on valuation). Goldman Sachs kept Neutral while raising its target to $42 from $38 (less bearish, but not a Buy stance). Overall Wall Street pro view: strong product/ARR growth narrative and execution improvements; con view: valuation/multiple compression and profitability/margin pressure. Trading flows: hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral. No recent congress trading data available (and no politician activity indicated).
Wall Street analysts forecast PAR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PAR is 56.4 USD with a low forecast of 42 USD and a high forecast of 77 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PAR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PAR is 56.4 USD with a low forecast of 42 USD and a high forecast of 77 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 27.570
Low
42
Averages
56.4
High
77
Current: 27.570
Low
42
Averages
56.4
High
77
Scotiabank
NULL
to
Outperform
maintain
$29 -> $31
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
Reason
Scotiabank
Price Target
$29 -> $31
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
maintain
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
Scotiabank raised the firm's price target on Paramount Resources to C$31 from C$29 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
maintain
$38 -> $42
2025-11-10
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$38 -> $42
2025-11-10
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on Par Technology to $42 from $38 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for PAR
