Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
Overview
The earnings call highlights mixed signals: strong electric segment growth and a 10% dividend increase are positive, but declining plastics earnings and regulatory risks present concerns. The market strategy shows potential with large load additions and solar projects, but faces resistance and economic challenges. The absence of Q&A questions suggests no immediate concerns from analysts. Overall, the financial outlook is stable but lacks strong catalysts for a significant stock price move, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
Key Financial Performance
Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) $6.55, a decrease of 9% year-over-year. The decrease was expected due to earnings from the Plastics segment receding from record levels achieved last year.
Dividend Increased by 10%, resulting in an annual indicated dividend of $2.31 per share. This reflects financial health and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Electric Segment Earnings Increased over 7% year-over-year, with an increase of $0.16 per share. The increase was driven by recovery of increased rate base investments, higher residential and commercial sales volumes, favorable weather relative to 2024, and lower operating and maintenance expenses. Partially offset by higher depreciation and interest expenses.
Manufacturing Segment Earnings Decreased $0.06 per share or 16% year-over-year. The decrease was due to lower sales volumes, impact of product mix on average pricing, and higher SG&A expenses. Partially offset by lower production costs.
Plastics Segment Earnings Decreased $0.72 per share or 15% year-over-year. The decrease was driven by lower average sales prices (15% decrease from 2024 average). Partially offset by higher sales volumes and lower input material costs.
Sales Prices of PVC Pipe Decreased 15% from the 2024 average. The rate of decline accelerated in Q4 2025, with average sales price being 20% lower than the same time last year.
Sales Volumes of PVC Pipe Increased 8% from 2024 levels, driven by incremental capacity added at Vinyltech in late 2024.
Material Input Costs (PVC Resin) Decreased 14% from 2024 levels due to elevated domestic supply.
Cash on Hand $386 million at the end of 2025, indicating strong financial position.
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Operating Highlights
Vinyltech's expansion project: Phase 2 is progressing and expected to be fully operational in early 2026, adding incremental capacity.
Battery storage project: A 75 MW battery storage project near Hoot Lake solar facility is under development, expected to be operational by 2028 with a $120 million investment.
Solar development projects: Solway Solar is under construction and expected to be operational by late 2026 or early 2027. Abercrombie Solar is expected to be operational in 2028.
Wind repowering project: Completed upgrades to wind towers at 4 energy centers, resulting in a 20% increase in output and additional 10 years of renewable energy tax credits.
Rate base growth: Otter Tail Power's 5-year capital spending plan remains at $1.9 billion, with a 10% compound annual growth rate in rate base.
Large load opportunities: Engaging with companies for a 430 MW data center opportunity in Phase 2, with no adjustments yet to load growth forecasts.
Interim rate revenues: Minnesota interim rate revenues of $28.6 million effective January 1, 2026, and South Dakota interim rate revenues of $5.7 million effective December 1, 2025.
Cost management: Lower operating and maintenance expenses contributed to a 7% increase in Electric segment earnings.
Dividend increase: Dividend increased by 10% to $2.31 per share, marking the second consecutive year of double-digit increases.
Plastics segment strategy: Earnings expected to normalize by 2028, with a long-term earnings profile of $45-$50 million annually.
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Risk or Challenges
Regulatory Risks: Interim rates in South Dakota and Minnesota are subject to refund, creating uncertainty in revenue realization. Additionally, there is resistance from landowners and local governments for certain transmission projects, and a FERC complaint against MISO's Tranche 2.1 projects could cause delays.
Market Demand Challenges: BTD manufacturing faces soft end-market demand, particularly in lawn and garden and agriculture sectors, due to high inventory levels and economic challenges. Plastics segment is experiencing declining PVC pipe prices, which fell 15% from 2024 levels, and increased competition from low-cost importers.
Economic and Financial Risks: The company expects a 36% decrease in Plastics segment earnings in 2026 due to declining PVC pipe prices. Additionally, higher operating and maintenance expenses, depreciation, and interest costs are anticipated to offset gains in the Electric segment.
Supply Chain and Project Execution Risks: Delays in transmission projects due to resistance and permitting issues, as well as potential delays in MISO projects, could impact the company's ability to meet its growth and operational targets. The timing of large transmission project spending remains uncertain.
Strategic Execution Risks: The company is cautious about adding new large loads to its system to avoid adverse implications for existing customers. Additionally, the timing and level of Plastics segment earnings remain uncertain, with potential variability in long-term projections.
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Guidance & Outlook
2026 Diluted Earnings Per Share Guidance: The company is initiating its 2026 diluted earnings per share guidance range of $5.22 to $5.62, with a midpoint of $5.42. This reflects an expected above-average return on equity of 12%.
Electric Segment Earnings Growth: Electric segment earnings are expected to increase by 14% in 2026, driven by a 14% increase in average rate base, interim revenues from the Minnesota general rate case, and investments in wind repower and solar projects. These gains will be partially offset by higher operating and maintenance expenses, depreciation, and interest costs.
Manufacturing Segment Earnings Growth: Manufacturing segment earnings are projected to increase by 7% in 2026 due to improved sales outlook, modest sales volume increases at BTD manufacturing, and higher horticulture product sales volumes. Improved productivity is also expected to contribute positively.
Plastics Segment Earnings Decline: Plastics segment earnings are expected to decrease by 36% in 2026 as average PVC pipe prices continue to decline. This will be partially offset by higher sales volumes from the Phase 2 capacity expansion at Vinyltech.
5-Year Capital Spending Plan: The company reaffirmed its 5-year capital spending plan of $1.9 billion, with a 10% compound annual growth rate in rate base. Updates include increased investment in renewable generation and battery storage, and shifting $140 million of transmission-related investments outside the current planning period.
Battery Storage Project: A 75-megawatt battery storage project near the Hoot Lake solar facility is under development, with a total capital investment of approximately $120 million. The project is expected to be operational by 2028 and has received Minnesota Commission approval for rider recovery.
Solar Development Projects: The Solway Solar project is expected to be operational by late 2026 or early 2027, while the Abercrombie Solar project is anticipated to be operational by 2028.
Large Load Opportunities: The company is optimistic about a 430-megawatt data center opportunity in Phase 2 of its pipeline and continues to engage with the customer to advance this load to a signed electric service agreement. No adjustments have been made to the load growth forecast for opportunities in Phase 1 and 2.
Plastics Segment Long-Term Earnings Profile: Plastics segment earnings are expected to normalize within the $45 million to $50 million range by 2028, with average PVC pipe prices continuing to decline and higher sales volumes from expanded production capacity.
Long-Term Earnings Growth Target: The company targets a long-term earnings per share growth rate of 7% to 9%, resulting in a total shareholder return of 10% to 12%. This is underpinned by significant growth in the Electric segment and strategic diversification.
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Shareholder Return Plan
Dividend Increase: Earlier this year, we increased our dividend by 10%, producing an annual indicated dividend of $2.31 per share. This was the second year in a row we announced a double-digit increase to our dividend, reflecting our financial health and commitment to delivering value and returning capital to our shareholders.
Dividend History: 2026 will mark the 88th consecutive year we have paid dividends to our shareholders without interruption or reduction.
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Key Q&A
Q:Are there any questions from the participants?
A:There are currently no questions in the queue, and no questions were asked during the session.
Q:Review of Unclear Management Responses
A:No questions were asked during the session, so there were no instances of management avoiding or providing unclear answers.
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Earnings Word Cloud
The most frequently occurring keywords in this quarter's earning call
Commission rate
MISO Tranche
Plastics
Public Utilities
South Dakota
Utilities Commission
Vinyltech
approval Minnesota
average
battery storage
benefit
bill
capacity
case
credit
customer
demand
dividend
end market
energy
facility
investment
level
line
load
manufacturing
megawatt
opportunity Phase
planning period
price
project
rate revenue
refund
staff
transmission
year
OTTR Transcript
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown2-17
The earnings call highlights mixed signals: strong electric segment growth and a 10% dividend increase are positive, but declining plastics earnings and regulatory risks present concerns. The market strategy shows potential with large load additions and solar projects, but faces resistance and economic challenges. The absence of Q&A questions suggests no immediate concerns from analysts. Overall, the financial outlook is stable but lacks strong catalysts for a significant stock price move, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown11-4
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. Basic financial performance shows declines in key areas, especially in the Plastics segment, which is negative. However, there is a positive outlook with an increased shareholder return target and improved corporate costs. The Q&A section reveals some uncertainty, particularly regarding the antitrust case and tax rate clarity. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors. Overall, the neutral sentiment reflects the balance between positive guidance and ongoing challenges.
Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ:OTTR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown5-7
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While the electric segment shows growth and a substantial capital investment plan suggests future earnings potential, current financial performance is hindered by declines in manufacturing and plastics segments. The 12% dividend increase is positive, but risks like trade policy, tariff exposure, and supply chain challenges introduce uncertainty. Management's vague responses in the Q&A further contribute to an unclear picture. Given the market cap and mixed signals, the stock price is expected to remain relatively stable, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown5-6
The company's earnings call presents mixed signals. While there are positive elements like a 12% dividend increase and strong electric segment growth, there are significant concerns. Declining EPS, challenges in the manufacturing and plastics segments, trade policy uncertainties, and pricing pressures are major red flags. The Q&A reveals uncertainty about future volumes and competitive pressures. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a prediction of a negative stock price movement of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
OTTR Slides
OTTR Report
Frequently Asked Questions
Where does this earnings call transcript come from?
All transcripts are sourced directly from the official live webcast or the company’s official investor relations website. We use the exact words spoken during the call with no paraphrasing of the core discussion.
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Full verbatim transcripts are typically published within 4–12 hours after the call ends. Same-day availability is guaranteed for all S&P 500 and most mid-cap companies.
Is the transcript edited or altered in any way?
No material content is ever changed or summarized in the “Full Transcript” section. We only correct obvious spoken typos (e.g., “um”, “ah”, repeated 10 times”, or clear misspoken ticker symbols) and add speaker names/titles for readability. Every substantive sentence remains 100% as spoken.
Why do some answers appear as “Unclear” or “Inaudible”?
When audio quality is poor or multiple speakers talk over each other, we mark the section instead of guessing. This ensures complete accuracy rather than introducing potential errors.
Who creates the AI Summary and Key Q&A highlights shown above the transcript?
They are generated by a specialized financial-language model trained exclusively on 15+ years of earnings transcripts. The model extracts financial figures, guidance, and tone with 97%+ accuracy and is regularly validated against human analysts. The full raw transcript always remains available for verification.
