Should You Buy OraSure Technologies Inc (OSUR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
2.790
1 Day change
52 Week Range
4.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Not a good buy right now. OSUR is trading ~2.79 pre-market (right at/above the key R1 resistance 2.788) after a weak fundamental quarter (2025/Q3 revenue -32% YoY) and with hedge funds aggressively selling. With no Intellectia buy signals today and pattern-based downside odds (80% chance of further declines over 1d/1w/1m), the risk/reward is unfavorable for an impatient entry at resistance—avoid buying here.
Technical Analysis
Trend/levels: Pre-market 2.79 is essentially sitting on the first resistance (R1=2.788) with the next overhead level near R2=2.84; nearest pivot support is 2.704 and then 2.62/2.568. Momentum: MACD histogram is slightly positive (0.0083) and expanding, implying a nascent bullish momentum attempt, but moving averages are converging (no strong established uptrend). RSI(6)=64.6 is near the upper-neutral zone—more consistent with a short-term bounce that may be getting stretched into resistance rather than a fresh low-risk entry. Net: technically improving, but the entry is poorly positioned (at resistance) and vulnerable to rejection back toward ~2.70/2.62.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment: Extremely low open-interest put/call (0.07) and zero put volume indicate heavily call-skewed sentiment (bullish/speculative). Activity: today’s options volume (280 calls, 0 puts) is far above recent averages (today vs 30-day avg volume +394%). Volatility: 30D IV ~45.4 with IV percentile 11.6 and IV rank 6.9; IV has dropped sharply vs 5D/10D IV averages (82.9/91.0), suggesting volatility has recently been crushed. Takeaway: options traders are leaning bullish, but the skew is one-sided (potential complacency), and the stock is still at a technical resistance area—sentiment alone doesn’t make this a good buy here.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Profitability trend improving: net loss and EPS both improved materially YoY in 2025/Q3 (loss narrowing).
Gross margin modestly higher YoY (43.46%).
Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-24 (after hours) can act as a catalyst if guidance stabilizes revenue.
Early technical momentum improvement (MACD turning positive).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Demand/revenue weakness: 2025/Q3 revenue fell -32.14% YoY, a major negative trend.
Hedge funds are selling aggressively (selling amount up ~2277% QoQ), a bearish positioning signal.
Pattern-based forward stats are bearish: estimated 80% chance of -2.16% next day, -4.1% next week, -13.32% next month.
Price is at/just above resistance (R1~2.788), increasing near-term pullback risk.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue declined to 27.085M (-32.14% YoY), showing significant top-line contraction. However, profitability metrics improved: net income rose to -13.712M (loss narrowed; +204.24% YoY), EPS improved to -0.19 (+216.67% YoY), and gross margin increased to 43.46% (+1.61% YoY). Overall: better cost/margin execution, but the growth trend is negative due to the sharp revenue drop—this weakens the case for buying immediately.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price-target change data was provided, so a recent trend summary can’t be confirmed. Practical Wall Street-style pros/cons view from the available data: Pros—improving margins and narrowing losses, potential event catalyst at next earnings. Cons—material revenue contraction, small-cap risk profile, and heavy institutional/hedge-fund selling signals deteriorating confidence.
Wall Street analysts forecast OSUR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OSUR is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast OSUR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OSUR is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
