OSK Should I Buy
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Oshkosh Corp (OSK) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus at this time. While the stock has some positive aspects, such as bullish moving averages and a relatively stable financial outlook, the lack of significant positive catalysts, declining financial performance, and mixed analyst sentiment make it less compelling. Additionally, the options data suggests bearish sentiment in the short term, and technical indicators do not provide a strong buy signal. Holding the stock or waiting for better entry points would be more prudent.
The technical indicators show a mixed picture. The MACD is positive and contracting, indicating some bullish momentum, while the RSI is neutral at 55.394. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is trading closer to its pivot level of 161.791, with resistance at 177.048 and support at 146.534. The stock has a 50% chance to decline in the short term, with a potential drop of -4.02% in the next week and -12.92% in the next month.
The machinery sector is stabilizing with reduced tariff uncertainty and potential growth catalysts.
Declining financial performance in Q4 2025, with net income down -12.61% YoY and EPS down -9.87% YoY. Gross margin also dropped by -8.46%. Mixed analyst ratings and price target changes, with some downgrades and lowered targets. Lack of significant insider or hedge fund activity and no recent news or congress trading data.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 3.49% YoY to $2.6888 billion, but net income dropped by -12.61% YoY to $133.8 million. EPS decreased by -9.87% YoY to $2.1, and gross margin declined to 15.26%, down -8.46% YoY. The financial performance indicates challenges in profitability despite modest revenue growth.
Analyst sentiment is mixed. Some firms, like DA Davidson and UBS, raised price targets and maintained Buy ratings, while others, like Morgan Stanley and Citi, lowered price targets. The medium-term outlook is stable, but the 2026 guidance appears light, with Access remaining a wild card for the company's performance.
