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ORN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
14.750
1 Day change
-2.19%
52 Week Range
15.810
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) is not a strong buy at this time for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the stock has some positive momentum and analyst confidence, the company's financial performance shows significant weaknesses, including declining net income and EPS. Additionally, insider selling and lack of recent news or strong proprietary trading signals suggest caution. The investor may consider holding off on investing until there are clearer signs of sustained growth or improved financial performance.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show a bullish trend with MACD positively expanding, RSI at 73.622 (neutral), and moving averages in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at 12.413 and 12.677, with support at 11.557 and 11.293.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets and maintain Buy ratings, citing strong opportunities in the Marine and Concrete segments.

  • The company has a growing opportunity pipeline of $23B and recent project wins, signaling momentum in its Marine capabilities.

  • FY26 guidance indicates management confidence in multi-year growth and improving returns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling shares, with a 371.72% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 shows a decline in net income (-103.55% YoY) and EPS (-105.88% YoY).

  • Gross margin dropped by 16.91% YoY, indicating operational challenges.

  • No recent news or significant hedge fund activity to support a strong buy case.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.54% YoY to $233.2M, but net income dropped to -$240,000 (-103.55% YoY), and EPS fell to -$0.01 (-105.88% YoY). Gross margin also declined to 11.6%, down 16.91% YoY, reflecting operational inefficiencies.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts from B. Riley and Roth Capital maintain Buy ratings with price targets of $17, citing opportunities in Marine and Concrete segments, improving margins, and long-term growth potential. However, backlog declines and insider selling may temper enthusiasm.

Wall Street analysts forecast ORN stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ORN stock price to fall
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 15.080
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Current: 15.080
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
B. Riley
Liam Burke
Buy
maintain
$17
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
B. Riley
Liam Burke
Price Target
$17
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
B. Riley analyst Liam Burke raised the firm's price target on Orion Group to $17 from $15.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Orion Group reported Q4 contract revenue of $233.2M and adjusted EBITDA of $13.0M, with adjusted EPS of 8c, beating consensus revenue and EPS estimates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Backlog declined sequentially and year over year, but the opportunity pipeline grew to $23B, and an early Q1 $86.3M U.S. Army Corps project highlights momentum in Marine capabilities, while FY26 guidance of $900M-$950M revenue and $54M-$58M adjusted EBITDA signals management confidence in multi-year growth and improving returns on invested capital, B. Riley says.
Roth Capital
Buy
initiated
$17
2026-02-10
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$17
2026-02-10
initiated
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital initiated coverage of Orion Group with a Buy rating and $17 price target. The firm believes the company's Marine segment will benefit from long-term, multi-billion-dollar spending initiatives associated with U.S. Navy defense programs and port infrastructure refurbishment. Meanwhile, Orion's Concrete unit is positioned in states with the highest infrastructure-reserved budgets, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Roth says the company's improving margin profile should narrow the stock's valuation gap between peers.
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