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The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial health with substantial cash balance and debt reduction. The company is achieving operational efficiencies and planning for growth, with promising exploration results and a focus on shareholder returns. Despite cost inflation concerns, the overall sentiment is positive due to operational achievements and strategic planning, including potential share buybacks. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
Gold Production Produced over 81,000 ounces of gold in Q1 2026. Musselwhite mine contributed nearly 63,000 ounces, and Camino Rojo produced approximately 18,000 ounces. Musselwhite exceeded planned production rates due to strategic mine plan resequencing and accessing higher-grade ore earlier than forecasted.
Revenue Generated $379 million in revenue in Q1 2026 by selling just under 82,000 ounces of gold at a realized price of $4,575 per ounce.
Net Income Recorded net income of $75.4 million or $0.22 per share in Q1 2026. Adjusted earnings were $134.7 million or $0.39 per share.
Cash Flow Cash flow from operating activities before changes in noncash working capital was $103.5 million. Free cash flow for the quarter was nearly $63 million.
Cash Costs Consolidated cash cost during Q1 2026 was $1,251 per ounce, and all-in sustaining cost (AISC) was $1,668 per ounce of gold sold.
Exploration and Project Development Costs Spent $36 million on exploration and project development in Q1 2026, with $6 million expensed and $30 million capitalized.
Cash Balance Cash balance as of March 31, 2026, was $427 million, with total liquidity of $517 million, including the undrawn portion of the revolving credit facility.
Tax Payments Paid approximately $118 million in tax-related payments in Q1 2026, including $25 million for Camino Rojo's annual special mining duty payment and $26 million in regular monthly tax installments.
Debt Repayment Paid down $35 million in debt during Q1 2026.
Dividend Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.015 per share, payable on June 9, 2026.
Gold Production: Produced over 81,000 ounces of gold in Q1 2026, with full-year guidance of 340,000 to 360,000 ounces.
Underground Project at Camino Rojo: Released a PEA for the underground project, outlining potential for a long-life underground mining operation with annual production exceeding 220,000 ounces of gold equivalent over the first 10 years.
South Railroad Project in Nevada: Optimized feasibility study confirmed robust production profile with average output of 130,000 ounces of gold annually over the first 5 years. Targeting first gold production in 2028.
Camino Rojo Expansion: Received environmental permit to mine the remaining oxide open pit and begin construction of an underground exploration decline.
Musselwhite Mine Performance: Exceeded planned production rates in Q1 2026, mining over 333,000 tonnes of ore and producing nearly 63,000 ounces of gold.
Operational Costs: Cash cost during Q1 was $1,251 per ounce, and all-in sustaining cost was $1,668 per ounce of gold sold.
Labor Protections at Camino Rojo: Implemented 9 core initiatives to strengthen oversight and protection of worker rights, aligning with recommendations from Mexican authorities.
Sustainability Initiatives: Advanced ESG efforts, including indigenous procurement strategies, equity and diversity recognition, and environmental stewardship projects.
Labor Protections and Compliance: The company is addressing findings from the Cusma Rapid Response labor mechanism determination, which highlighted issues with labor protections at Camino Rojo. This poses risks to operational stability and reputation if not adequately resolved.
Energy Costs: Rising diesel prices have increased operating costs, with a 6% rise in diesel prices impacting the company's gross exposure of $25 million to diesel in 2026.
Regulatory and Permitting Risks: The company is awaiting final permits for the South Railroad project in Nevada, expected mid-2026. Delays or complications in obtaining these permits could impact project timelines and financial outcomes.
Supply Chain and Procurement: The company is heavily reliant on timely procurement of long-lead equipment and materials for the South Railroad project. Any delays in procurement could disrupt construction schedules.
Tax and Financial Obligations: Significant tax-related payments, including a $118 million true-up for 2025 income tax and other payments, could strain cash flow if not managed effectively.
Operational Execution: The success of the Musselwhite and Camino Rojo projects depends on meeting production and development targets. Any deviations could impact financial performance and strategic goals.
Exploration and Development Risks: The success of exploration programs at Musselwhite and Camino Rojo is critical for long-term growth. Failure to achieve expected results could limit resource expansion and future production.
Gold Production Guidance: Orla Mining is forecasting gold production of 340,000 to 360,000 ounces for 2026.
All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) Guidance: The company expects an AISC of $1,550 to $1,750 per ounce for 2026.
Musselwhite Mine Development: The 1080 exploration drift expansion is on schedule, with consistent mining and milling rates. The focus remains on leveraging expanded drill capacity to drive further value.
Camino Rojo Underground Project: A pre-feasibility study for the underground project is targeted for 2027. The exploration decline construction is expected to begin in Q3 2026 and complete by 2028, with an additional $20 million allocated for 2026.
South Railroad Project in Nevada: Final permits are anticipated by mid-2026, with construction commencing shortly thereafter. First gold production is targeted for 2028, with an estimated annual output of 130,000 ounces of gold over the first 5 years at an AISC of $1,485 per ounce.
Exploration and Resource Development: Continued exploration at Musselwhite and Camino Rojo is planned, with a focus on extending mineralization and advancing resource development. A pre-feasibility study for Camino Rojo is expected in 2027.
Production Expansion: Orla aims to increase annual production to 500,000 ounces with the addition of the South Railroad project.
Quarterly Dividend Declared: A quarterly dividend of $0.015 per share was declared, payable on June 9, 2026. This is the second dividend after the inaugural dividend paid during the first quarter.
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial health with substantial cash balance and debt reduction. The company is achieving operational efficiencies and planning for growth, with promising exploration results and a focus on shareholder returns. Despite cost inflation concerns, the overall sentiment is positive due to operational achievements and strategic planning, including potential share buybacks. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows strong gold production and revenue, but high costs and regulatory uncertainties in Mexico pose risks. The Q&A reveals positive developments like FAST-41 status for South Railroad, but management's vague responses on key issues like Camino Rojo permits and dividends create uncertainty. Revised guidance with lower production and higher costs further tempers optimism. Given the company's small market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral prediction.
The earnings call reveals significant issues impacting the company's operations and financials, such as the uncontrolled material movement at Camino Rojo, resulting in reduced production guidance and increased costs. Additionally, permitting challenges and regional security risks pose further uncertainties. Although there are positive aspects like strong production at Musselwhite and debt reduction, the overall sentiment is negative due to the operational disruptions and lack of clear guidance on permitting issues. The company's small market cap suggests a potentially stronger reaction, supporting a negative stock price movement prediction.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. The acquisition of Musselwhite Mine and strong cash flow are positive, but the lack of a shareholder return plan and a net loss due to financial instruments are concerning. The Q&A section reveals uncertainties around CapEx and exploration plans, which may dampen investor confidence. The company's small market cap suggests potential volatility, but the absence of strong catalysts or deterrents keeps the sentiment neutral, likely resulting in a stock price movement between -2% to 2%.
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