Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. OPT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
OPT stock price ended at $3.41 on Monday, after rising7.23%
The Opthea Ltd stock price increased by 7.23% on the last trading day (17 Mar 2025), rising from 3.48 to 3.41. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.08% , ranging from a day low of $3.25 to a day high of 3.48. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -33.27% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -83.38K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.03K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 10.29K.
OPT Technical Signals
OPT(Opthea Ltd Corp) has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-02-19. The total price change during this trend is -29.64%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of OPT over the last 5 trading days is 105.48K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
OPT Moving Average Analysis
Opthea Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, May 11, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.18, and $6. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.54, and $1.72. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
OPT Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Opthea Ltd(OPT) as of 17 Mar 2025 is 46.18%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 3.18 to 3.41. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Neutral
Sell
4
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
7.57
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
13.19
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-84.86
Bullish
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
UO_7_14_28 < 30
27.66
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.46
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-1.7
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.44
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 200-day SMA
--
Bearish
OPT Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Opthea Ltd(OPT), our algorithm predicts OPT's 1-month price at $2.80, with an -12.07%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.49%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Opthea Ltd (OPT.O) stock, as of Sunday, March 16, 2025 , forecasts a -12.07% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PTPI.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.49%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
OPT
Future prediction
Up: -12.07%
PTPI
Down: -12.07%Similarity: 98.49%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PTPI.O
98.49%
-12.07%
PAHC.O
98.23%
-10.44%
IMVT.O
98.12%
-23.50%
FENC.O
97.95%
-14.29%
GDRX.O
97.91%
+5.90%
AXTI.O
97.89%
+23.02%
PBYI.O
97.82%
+24.79%
VSTA.O
97.78%
-4.14%
VTOL.N
97.77%
-4.05%
CPRX.O
97.69%
+6.67%
OPT Seasonality Analysis
Based on OPT's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is25.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in OPT. In contrast,Decemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Opthea Ltd (OPT.O) stock in December has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while June has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Opthea Ltd. (OPT)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. OPT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Opthea Ltd (OPT.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Opthea Ltd (OPT.O) stock in December has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while June has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Opthea Ltd. (OPT)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
OPT's stock price fell by -36.30% in 2023,increased by 31.35% in 2024, and went down by 7.47% in 2025.
Is OPT a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
OPT has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for OPT is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of OPT.
What is the trend of Opthea Ltd (OPT)'s moving average?
Opthea Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 11 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for OPT stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Opthea Ltd (OPT.O) stock, as of March 16 2025, forecasts a -12.07% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PTPI stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.49%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for OPT Stock?
OPT stock is expected to decline to $2.50 by the end of 2025 due to the failed Phase 3 COAST trial results and financial obligations under its Development Funding Agreement. The stock's technical indicators, such as RSI and MACD, suggest bearish momentum.
What is price prediction 2030 for OPT Stock?
OPT stock is expected to trade between $2 and $4 by 2030, driven by its current challenges in clinical trials and financial instability. The stock may decline to $0 if recovery efforts fail.