Should I Buy OPAL? OPAL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Opal Fuels Inc (OPAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

2.310

1 Day change

-8.70%

52 Week Range

4.080

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader. Despite a bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), momentum is not confirming (MACD histogram negative) and there are no Intellectia buy signals today. With weak latest-quarter growth (2025/Q3 YoY declines in revenue, EPS, net income, and gross margin) and no near-term news catalysts, the risk/reward doesn’t justify chasing at ~2.49 pre-market. Best stance: HOLD/avoid new buys until price either reclaims strength above ~2.72 (R1) or offers a cleaner dip-entry closer to ~2.34 (S1).

Technical Analysis

Trend/levels: Price is near the pivot (2.532) and slightly below it pre-market (2.49). Moving averages are bullishly stacked (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which supports a broader uptrend, but current momentum is soft. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.0079 (below zero) though negatively contracting—bearish momentum is easing but not yet bullish. RSI_6 = 53.16 (neutral), suggesting no strong edge at current price. Key levels: Support S1 2.341 (then S2 2.223). Resistance R1 2.723 (then R2 2.841). Pattern-based bias provided: ~70% chance of -0.11% next day, +0.29% next week, -0.68% next month—slightly negative near-term skew. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment (but low activity): Open interest is call-heavy (call OI 1305 vs put OI 81), producing a very low OI put/call ratio (0.06), which is typically bullish positioning. However, today’s volume is extremely small (total volume 2; put volume 0), so the signal is not strongly actionable. Volatility: 30D IV ~73.73 with IV percentile ~38.8 and IV rank ~8.16; IV has been trending down versus 5D/10D averages (95.65/115.149), implying cooling volatility expectations rather than a building catalyst.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technicals still show a constructive longer trend via bullish moving-average alignment. Options open interest positioning is strongly call-skewed (OI put/call 0.06), suggesting bullish lean from the options market (despite thin volume).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

No news in the last week (no obvious event-driven upside catalyst). Momentum indicators are not confirming the uptrend (MACD histogram still below zero). Latest reported fundamentals are weakening (2025/Q3 YoY declines across revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin). Options volume is too thin to treat the bullish OI skew as a strong real-time sentiment confirmation.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue was 83,357,000 (-0.82% YoY). Net income was 1,450,000 (-38.61% YoY). EPS was 0.05 (-44.44% YoY). Gross margin was 23.84 (-29.26% YoY). Overall: growth and profitability trends weakened meaningfully YoY, which reduces confidence in near-term upside without a catalyst.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent trend cannot be confirmed from the dataset. With the available information (weak YoY financial trends and no catalysts), the implied Wall Street-style balance would skew cautious: pros would center on potential sector/strategy upside and constructive longer-term technical structure, while cons would focus on deteriorating margins/earnings and lack of near-term triggers.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast OPAL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OPAL is 3.5 USD with a low forecast of 3.5 USD and a high forecast of 3.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 2.530

Low

3.5

Averages

3.5

High

3.5

Current: 2.530

Low

3.5

Averages

3.5

High

3.5

UBS

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

AI Analysis

2025-07-23

Reason

UBS

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-07-23

downgrade

Buy -> Neutral

Reason

UBS downgraded Opal Fuels to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $2.75, down from $3.50. The stock continues to trade a discount to peers but lacks a near-term catalyst to drive a re-rating, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees risk in D3 renewable identification number prices and limited likelihood of earnings beats from here for Opal.

Johnson Rice

Martin Malloy

Buy

Hold

downgrade

2025-07-22

Reason

Johnson Rice

Martin Malloy

Price Target

2025-07-22

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

Johnson Rice analyst Martin Malloy downgraded Opal Fuels to Hold from Buy with a $3 price target.

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OPAL Should I Buy

OPAL Should I Buy

Should You Buy Opal Fuels Inc (OPAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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