NXRT

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc

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33.040

+0.3(0.916%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

33.195

Open

32.590

VWAP

32.98

Vol

194.79K

Mkt Cap

Low

32.3006

Amount

6.42M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

81.20

Total Shares

25.28M

2.29B

EV/OCF(TTM)

27.81

P/S(TTM)

3.33

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is primarily focused on acquiring, owning and operating well-located middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets of large cities, primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. The Company's investment objectives are to maximize the cash flow and value of properties owned, acquire properties with cash flow growth potential, provide quarterly cash distributions and achieve long-term capital appreciation for its stockholders through targeted management and a value-add program. The Company may allocate up to 30% of the portfolio to investments in real estate-related debt and securities with the potential for high current income or total returns. These allocations may include first and second mortgages and subordinated, bridge, mezzanine, construction and other loans. It is externally managed by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q2

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q4

63.54M

-1.09%

64.16M

+0.1%

64.14M

+0.53%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising No Change the revenue expectations for NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -2.94%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

No Change

0.00%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-2.94%

In Past 3 Month

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NXRT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXRT is 40.83 USD with a low forecast of 38.00 USD and a high forecast of 42.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

5 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 33.040

Low

38.00

Averages

40.83

High

42.50

Current: 33.040

Low

38.00

Averages

40.83

High

42.50

Truist

Michael Lewis

Hold

downgrade

$38 -> $34

2025-08-12

Reason

Truist

Michael Lewis

Price Target

$38 -> $34

2025-08-12

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Truist analyst Michael Lewis lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Residential to $34 from $38 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company continues to be the worst-performing apartment REIT in the firm's coverage universe year-to-date, and Truist believes that NexPoint will not be able to grow earnings or cashflow this year or next, mostly because of expiring interest rate swaps paired with very high financial leverage relative to peers, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Truist

Hold

downgrade

$42 -> $38

2025-05-29

Reason

Truist

Price Target

$42 -> $38

2025-05-29

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Truist lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Residential to $38 from $42 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company is the worst-performing apartment REIT in the firm's coverage universe, notably trailing other sunbelt apartment stocks that are benefiting from decelerating new supply in the South, the analyst tells investors in a research note. NexPoint also has high financial leverage relative to peers and has a large amount of interest rate swaps expiring in 2026, the firm added.

Citizens JMP

Outperform -> Market Perform

downgrade

2025-05-19

Reason

Citizens JMP

Price Target

2025-05-19

downgrade

Outperform -> Market Perform

Reason

Citizens JMP downgraded NexPoint Residential to Market Perform from Outperform. NexPoint is performance well and beat Q1 core funds from operations expectations significantly, but believes balance sheet risk is becoming a more significant concern every quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Once swaps roll off, the firm thinks FFO could be diluted by about $1.15 per share, representing a deterioration of earnings in the 40% range.

Raymond James

Outperform

Market Perform

downgrade

$NULL

2025-05-15

Reason

Raymond James

Price Target

$NULL

2025-05-15

downgrade

Outperform

Market Perform

Reason

Raymond James downgraded NexPoint Residential to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. A resilient economy has led to stronger than expected household formation and multifamily demand this year, partially offsetting elevated levels of new supply lingering into 2025, though the firm's real-time tracking of CoStar multifamily rental rate data is beginning to show a modest deceleration in rent growth taking place in April, the analyst tells investors in a research note. NexPoint's more levered balance sheet could present as a headwind with most of its interest rate swaps set to expire in the fall of 2026, the firm argues.

Compass Point

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

$50

2025-05-13

Reason

Compass Point

Price Target

$50

2025-05-13

downgrade

Buy -> Neutral

Reason

Compass Point downgraded NexPoint Residential to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $42.50, down from $50.

Raymond James

Buck Horne

Buy

Maintains

$50 → $44

2025-03-20

Reason

Raymond James

Buck Horne

Price Target

$50 → $44

2025-03-20

Maintains

Buy

Reason

Raymond James lowered the firm's price target on NexPoint Residential to $44 from $50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The updated price target reflects recent 2025 guidance, mid-quarter operating updates provided at a key REIT conference earlier this month, and the firm's insights from recent MSA-level rent tracking data, the analyst tells investors in a research note. A resilient economy has led to stronger than expected household formation and multifamily demand this year, partially offsetting the surge in new supply growth, though the firm expects same store revenue growth to remain subdued through 1H25 before significantly accelerating through 2026.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for NexPoint Residential Trust Inc (NXRT.N) is -29.12, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -8.69. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess NexPoint Residential Trust Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

-8.69

Current PE

-29.12

Overvalued PE

64.74

Undervalued PE

-82.12

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

21.93

Current EV/EBITDA

18.31

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

25.94

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

17.92

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

4.94

Current PS

3.33

Overvalued PS

6.60

Undervalued PS

3.29