Should I Buy NVGS? NVGS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Navigator Holdings Ltd (NVGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

18.530

1 Day change

-0.59%

52 Week Range

18.830

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Buy now (pre-market ~18.64). The trend is firmly bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 and MACD expanding above zero), options positioning is strongly risk-on (very low put/call ratios), fundamentals in 2025/Q3 accelerated sharply, and the only recent Street coverage is a Buy with a $21 target (~13% upside). Near-term, price is sitting just below first resistance (18.70); an impatient buyer can enter here to play for a push into 18.70–18.97.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: Bullish. MACD histogram is positive (0.0262) and expanding, supporting upside continuation. Moving averages are stacked bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), consistent with an established uptrend. Overbought check: RSI_6 at 70.54 is stretched (late-stage momentum), which increases the odds of a short pullback even if the broader trend stays up. Levels: Pivot 18.279 is the key line to hold for the bull case. Immediate resistance is R1 18.703 (very close to 18.64); a clean move above that opens room toward R2 18.965. Supports sit at S1 17.855 then S2 17.593. Pattern-based short-horizon odds (provided): ~40% chance of +1.25% next day, but indicates -2.89% over the next week—so this is more of a momentum/breakout buy than a “smooth” week. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Strongly bullish. Open interest put/call of 0.34 shows far more call positioning than puts. Even more extreme, option volume put/call of 0.01 (puts basically absent) signals traders are heavily leaning upside. Activity/vol: Today’s option volume (283) is massively above its 30-day average (345% of average), indicating heightened attention. IV (28.05) is below the recent 5–10 day averages (~35–37), with low IV rank (9.5) / percentile (30.8), suggesting options aren’t pricing panic and the market isn’t demanding high premium for upside exposure.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

2025/Q3 fundamentals accelerated: revenue +7.95% YoY, net income +82.45% YoY, EPS +92.31% YoY, and gross margin improved to 31.9% (+8.84% YoY).
Technicals are in an established uptrend (bullish MA stack + positive, expanding MACD).
Options market positioning is decisively bullish (very low put/call ratios) with unusually elevated volume.
Analyst coverage: Pareto initiated with Buy and $21 target (recent and constructive).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Short-term is extended: RSI_6 ~70.5 increases the chance of a near-term dip or failed breakout.
Price is approaching overhead resistance (18.703–18.965 zone), where stalls are common.
No news catalysts in the past week to drive an event-based breakout.
Quant pattern readout provided implies downside risk over the next week (-2.89%).
No notable supportive flow from hedge funds/insiders recently (both described as neutral).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth was strong and broad-based: Revenue 153.086M (+7.95% YoY), Net Income 33.155M (+82.45% YoY), EPS 0.50 (+92.31% YoY), Gross Margin 31.9% (+8.84% YoY). This mix (margin expansion + large EPS growth) supports the bullish trend and helps justify buying strength rather than waiting for a deep pullback.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: only one datapoint provided—on 2025-12-09 Pareto (Eirik Haavaldsen) initiated coverage at Buy with a $21 price target. Wall Street view (from available data): Pros—fresh Buy initiation with double-digit upside from 18.64 and improving profitability trends. Cons—limited breadth of coverage shown here (no corroborating upgrades/target raises listed) and the stock is technically extended near resistance.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NVGS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVGS is 22.5 USD with a low forecast of 21 USD and a high forecast of 24 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 18.640

Low

Averages

22.5

High

Current: 18.640

Low

Averages

22.5

High

Pareto

Eirik Haavaldsen

initiated

$21

AI Analysis

2025-12-09

Reason

Pareto

Eirik Haavaldsen

Price Target

$21

AI Analysis

2025-12-09

initiated

Reason

Pareto analyst Eirik Haavaldsen initiated coverage of Navigator Holdings with a Buy rating and $21 price target.

Deutsche Bank

Chris Robertson

Buy

initiated

$24

2025-09-25

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Chris Robertson

Price Target

$24

2025-09-25

initiated

Buy

Reason

Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Robertson initiated coverage of Navigator Holdings with a Buy rating and $24 price target, which offers 45% upside. Navigator specializes in the seaborne transportation of liquefied petroleum gases, ammonia, ethylene, and ethane, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the liquefied petroleum gas carrier market will be supported by increased demand for the transportation of LPG commodities and products. Deutsche thinks this will allow Navigator to steadily increase its dividend, pursue share repurchases, and continue to invest in its fleet.

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NVGS Should I Buy

NVGS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Navigator Holdings Ltd (NVGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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