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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with significant increases in net earnings and pretax earnings across segments. Management provided optimistic guidance, expecting higher earnings in Q2 and robust demand. Despite some margin compression concerns, the company's strategic investments and debt management are positive signals. The Q&A section reinforced confidence in future growth, with no major risks identified. Overall, the sentiment leans positive, reflecting strong earnings and management's optimistic outlook, likely leading to a stock price increase in the short term.
EBITDA Nucor generated EBITDA of approximately $1.3 billion in Q2 2025, a significant improvement over Q1 2025, driven by higher average selling prices in the steel mills segment and stable realized pricing and higher volumes in the Steel Products segment.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Nucor earned $2.60 per diluted share in Q2 2025, a substantial improvement over the prior quarter's adjusted EPS of $0.77. This is similar to the $2.68 EPS during Q2 2024.
Capital Expenditures (CapEx) Capital expenditures for Q2 2025 totaled $954 million, with the company on track to deploy approximately $3 billion in CapEx for the year.
Shareholder Returns Nucor returned $329 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in Q2 2025, bringing the total capital return for the first half of the year to $758 million.
Steel Mills Segment Pretax Earnings The steel mills segment generated $843 million of pretax earnings in Q2 2025, more than triple that of Q1 2025. This was driven by higher average selling prices, particularly in sheet and plate operations.
Steel Products Segment Pretax Earnings The Steel Products segment generated pretax earnings of $392 million in Q2 2025, a 28% increase over Q1 2025. This was driven by stable realized pricing and higher volumes.
Raw Materials Segment Pretax Earnings The raw materials segment realized pretax earnings of approximately $57 million in Q2 2025, an increase of approximately 95% over Q1 2025, due to stable volumes, pricing, and lower operating expenses.
Net Earnings Nucor generated net earnings of $603 million in Q2 2025, a substantial improvement over Q1 2025 adjusted earnings of $0.77 per share. This is similar to the $2.68 EPS during Q2 2024.
Debt Management Nucor retired $1 billion in long-term debt during Q2 2025, ending the quarter with a total debt-to-capital ratio of approximately 24% and cash of approximately $2.5 billion.
Brandenburg plate mill: Achieved positive EBITDA for the quarter with record shipments in June, strengthening its market position with key customers for complex grades of steel plate.
Sheet Group: Set a new shipment record for the second consecutive quarter, shipping nearly 3.1 million tons.
Gallatin sheet mill: Set a new monthly shipping record during the quarter.
Infrastructure demand: Driven by IIJA funds, with notable increases in public transit, highway, bridge, and tunnel contract awards. Bar shipments rose 13% in the first half of the year, and plate shipments to the bridge market hit a record, rising 35% in the first half of 2025.
Energy sector: Exceptional growth in power transmission with first-half shipments up 88% year-over-year. Significant increases in steel shipments for solar and onshore wind projects. Brandenburg facility certified to supply line pipe for LNG and oil pipeline projects.
Data centers: Construction spending projected to grow 18% in 2025 and 26% in 2026, with significant increases in beam orders for this segment.
Rebar micro mill in Lexington, North Carolina: Rolled its first heat and is ramping up production.
Kingman, Arizona melt shop: Successfully melted, cast, and rolled several heats, ramping up production in Q3.
Nucor Towers and Structures: Pole production and galvanizing operations in Alabama set to begin by September, with customer shipments starting in Q4.
Indiana greenfield project: Set to commence full operations by spring 2026, with customer shipments beginning in Q2 2026.
Crawfordsville, Indiana coating complex: On schedule for completion by the end of 2025.
Berkeley, South Carolina galvanizing line: On schedule for completion by mid-2026.
West Virginia sheet mill: Nearly 60% complete, on track for completion by the end of 2026.
Trade policy: Support for strengthened Section 232 tariffs and ongoing investigations into unfairly traded imports to ensure a level playing field for the steel industry.
Tax provisions and manufacturing incentives: New legislation expected to boost economic growth, promote reshoring of manufacturing, and enhance national security, benefiting steel-intensive projects.
Trade Policy and Imports: Dumped and subsidized imports continue to persist, posing a risk to domestic producers like Nucor. Affirmative determinations in trade cases are critical to ensuring a level playing field. The evolving country-specific tariff negotiations could impact raw material costs.
Raw Material Costs: The evolving tariff negotiations and global supply chain dynamics could lead to increased raw material costs, impacting Nucor's cost structure.
Market Demand and Pricing: While demand is currently strong, there is potential for modest margin compression in the steel mills segment due to pricing pressures. Stability in pricing is critical to maintaining profitability.
Start-up Costs and Capital Expenditures: Preoperating and start-up costs remain significant, with $136 million incurred in Q2 2025. High capital expenditures, projected at $3 billion for the year, could strain financial resources if not managed effectively.
Economic and Regulatory Environment: Economic uncertainties and regulatory changes, including tax policies and manufacturing incentives, could impact Nucor's operations and competitiveness.
Capital Expenditures: Nucor plans to deploy approximately $3 billion in capital expenditures for the year 2025.
Production Ramp-Up: The rebar micro mill in Lexington, North Carolina, and the Kingman, Arizona facility are ramping up production, with the latter expected to increase production throughout Q3 2025.
New Facility Operations: Nucor Towers and Structures' Alabama operations are set to begin customer shipments in Q4 2025. The Indiana greenfield project will commence full operations by spring 2026, with customer shipments starting in Q2 2026.
Coating Complex and Galvanizing Line: The coating complex in Crawfordsville, Indiana, is expected to be completed by the end of 2025, and the galvanizing line in Berkeley, South Carolina, by mid-2026.
West Virginia Sheet Mill: The new sheet mill in West Virginia is nearly 60% complete and is on track for completion by the end of 2026.
Steel Mills Segment Outlook: Despite resilient backlogs and stable demand, modest margin compression is expected in Q3 2025.
Steel Products Segment Outlook: Earnings are expected to remain similar to Q2 2025, with slightly lower profitability in Tubular and Joist and Deck, offset by improved performance in other business lines.
Raw Materials Segment Outlook: Earnings are expected to remain similar to Q2 2025.
Domestic Steel Demand: Domestic steel demand in the second half of 2025 is expected to be higher than in the second half of 2024.
Market Segment Growth: Strong demand is anticipated in technology and advanced manufacturing, infrastructure, energy, and data center markets, driving steel and steel product demand for the foreseeable future.
Dividends and Buybacks: During the quarter, we returned $329 million to Nucor's shareholders through dividends and buybacks, bringing our total capital return to shareholders for the first half of the year to $758 million.
Shareholder Returns: During the second quarter, we returned $329 million to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases. When combined with the first quarter, we've returned $758 million of cash to shareholders, representing nearly 100% of Nucor's year-to-date net earnings.
Share Repurchases: During the same period, we've repurchased approximately 4 million shares at a weighted average value of approximately $124 a share.
The earnings call summary and Q&A session reveal strong demand in key market segments, strategic production ramp-ups, and positive outlooks for new facilities. Despite some margin compression and higher conversion costs, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by robust market demand, strategic positioning in data centers, and a commitment to shareholder returns. The potential for growth in export markets and new projects further enhances the positive outlook.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with significant increases in net earnings and pretax earnings across segments. Management provided optimistic guidance, expecting higher earnings in Q2 and robust demand. Despite some margin compression concerns, the company's strategic investments and debt management are positive signals. The Q&A section reinforced confidence in future growth, with no major risks identified. Overall, the sentiment leans positive, reflecting strong earnings and management's optimistic outlook, likely leading to a stock price increase in the short term.
Despite some positive indicators like capital investments and shareholder returns, concerns such as lower EBITDA, higher operating expenses, and lack of clear guidance overshadow potential gains. The Q&A section highlighted management's reluctance to provide quantitative guidance, which typically raises investor concerns. While there is optimism about demand, market uncertainties and pre-operating costs present risks. The sentiment is balanced by positive pre-tax earnings in key segments and a strong cash position, resulting in a neutral outlook.
Nucor's earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased EPS and EBITDA, a robust balance sheet, and significant shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Despite a decrease in steel mill earnings, the overall outlook remains optimistic with strategic investments and growth plans. Positive sentiment is reinforced by management's commitment to shareholder returns and confidence in market demand. Q&A insights suggest optimism about tariffs and market conditions, though some uncertainty remains. The stock price is likely to see a 2% to 8% increase over the next two weeks.
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