Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's my analysis for NTRS stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $113.92 during regular market hours, showing positive momentum with a +0.84% gain. Key technical indicators suggest:

• RSI (14) at 59.71 indicates neutral momentum, not yet overbought
• MACD shows positive momentum with 1.56 value, though the histogram (-0.10) suggests slight weakening
• Stock is trading above all major moving averages (5-day: 112.97, 20-day: 112.15, 200-day: 94.25)

Fundamental Strength

Recent performance highlights:

• Outperformed broader market with 42.6% gain over past year vs S&P 500's 23%
• Strong organic growth and rising revenues
• Expanding non-interest income and growing client base
• Disciplined cost management enhancing operational efficiency

Institutional Activity Notable recent institutional movements:

• Nuance Investments maintains significant 5.92% position despite small reduction
• Fiduciary Management reduced holdings by 495,070 shares but still holds 1.13% stake

Analyst Consensus According to recent analysis:

• Consensus rating: "Hold" based on 15 analysts
• Price targets: Mean $118.57 (+4.4% upside)
• Morgan Stanley's target: $138 (+21.6% upside)
• EPS growth projection: 7.4% for fiscal 2025

Recommendation SELL. While NTRS shows strong fundamental performance and institutional backing, current technical indicators and price levels suggest the stock may be approaching resistance levels. The stock has already had a significant run-up, and the risk-reward ratio appears unfavorable at current prices.

Based on the provided data and market context, I'll analyze NTRS's price prediction for 2025.

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show:

• RSI (14) at 59.71 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD line at 1.56 with histogram at -0.10 suggests slight bearish divergence
• Stock trading above all major moving averages (SMA 20: 112.15, SMA 60: 107.67)
• Currently trading within Bollinger Bands (Middle: 112.15, Upper: 115.79, Lower: 108.51)

Price Target Analysis

Based on Fibonacci levels:

• Resistance levels: R1: 114.12, R2: 115.55, R3: 117.87
• Support levels: S1: 109.48, S2: 108.05, S3: 105.73
• Pivot point: 111.80

2025 Price Projection

Given the current market conditions and technical setup, NTRS stock is likely to trade in the following ranges by end of 2025:

• Bullish scenario (30% probability): $120-125

  • Driven by improved market sentiment and potential rate cuts
  • Breaking above R3 level of 117.87

• Base case scenario (50% probability): $110-115

  • Consolidation around current levels
  • Trading between S1 and R1 Fibonacci levels

• Bearish scenario (20% probability): $100-105

  • Market volatility or sector-specific challenges
  • Breaking below S3 level of 105.73

Current Market Position

• Trading at $113.865 (as of February 24, 2025)
• Above key moving averages indicating overall bullish trend
• Bollinger Band Position (0.61) suggests moderate upward momentum

The base case scenario of $110-115 appears most likely given the current technical setup and market conditions.

The S1 support level for NTRS Stock is $109.44 ,The R1 resistant level for NTRS Stock is $113.76.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of NTRS Stock was $109.505.

The target price for NTRS Stock according to analyst rating is 118.13, with the highest price target at 138.00 and the lowest at 102.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on NTRS Stock overall.

The market cap of NTRS is $21.4B.

Based on the provided data and recent market performance, NTRS appears fairly valued with some mixed signals. The current P/E ratio of 16.62 is slightly higher than 2022's 14.41, suggesting moderate valuation expansion. Net income declined from $1.28B in 2022 to $1.05B in 2023, while ROE decreased from 11.93% to 9.86%, indicating some operational challenges. However, the stock has shown positive momentum, gaining 21.4% over the past 52 weeks, though underperforming the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund's 27.7% return. Technical indicators show neutral to slightly bullish signals with RSI at 59.71 and price trading above major moving averages. The stock is currently trading at $113.87, between its Fibonacci resistance of $114.12 and pivot point of $111.80, suggesting a balanced valuation zone.

Northern Trust Corporation is a provider of wealth management, asset servicing, asset management and banking solutions to corporations, institutions, families, and individuals. The Company’s segments include Asset Servicing and Wealth Management. Asset Servicing is a global provider of asset servicing and related services to corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, fund managers, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and other institutional investors around the globe. Asset servicing and related services, including custody; fund administration; investment operations outsourcing; investment management; investment risk and analytical services, and employee benefit services. Wealth Management segment provides trust, investment management, custody, and philanthropic services; financial consulting; guardianship and estate administration; family business consulting; family financial education; brokerage services; and private and business banking.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the 2030 price prediction for Northern Trust (NTRS):

Northern Trust stock is projected to reach $185-195 by 2030, representing a 62-71% increase from current levels. This forecast is supported by the company's strong organic growth trajectory, consistent earnings beats, and strategic positioning in wealth management services with $17.4 trillion in assets under custody.

The company's robust pipelines in asset servicing and disciplined cost management initiatives, combined with anticipated interest rate environment adjustments, are expected to drive sustained long-term growth through 2030.

NTRS has a total of 23100 employees.